... Forex - US dollar lower against yen in ... downside support on looming concerns about the Japanese economy ahead of the release Tuesday of the Bank of Japans quarterly Tankan survey of business sentiment. Ten ...
Thursday, March 27, 2008
Forex - US dollar lower against yen in early Asian trade on weak US data UPDATE
Deutsche Bank Says Challenging Economic Conditions May Weigh-down FY08 Profit; Warns Of Write-downs - Update
... profitability target for the year 2008. The German bank is expecting a pre-tax profit of ... the market turbulence and uncertainties in global equity markets. Meanwhile, the bank anticipates that its Private ...
Egyptian editor jailed
... AFP. CAIRO. Outspoken Egyptian editor Ibrahim Eissa was sentenced to six ... worth more than US$350 million from the stock exchange. AFP. ...
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Demand for dollar hits record at daily auction
... Baghdad, 26 March 2008 (Voices of Iraq) -- Iraqs Stock Exchange (ISX) index decreased by 0.661 % to settle at 37.550 points at the closuring ...
Consumer sentiment hits $US
... since March 2003, when American-led forces invaded Iraq. The Conference Board question asking Americans about ... news out of the States and the stock market." The US dollar ended the Australian session ...
Forex - Euro soars on Trichet comments, strong Ifo; pound sinks on MPC testimony
... 1.9935 down from 2.0080 yen 198.25 down from 200.57 sfr 1.9935 down from 2.0082 Australian dollar usd 0.9214 up from 0.9154 stg 0.4610 up from 0.4557 yen 91.40 down ...
Batelco to Re-instate Dismissed Staff
... Companys shares are listed on the Bahrain Stock Exchange with a total capitalization of approx US$ ... in Jordan, Kuwait, Yemen, Saudi Arabia and Egypt. This release has been issued by Batelco ...
Sainsburys leads on double boost
... and a net equivalent yield of 5.1%. Swiss mining group Xstrata leads the fallers after ... 2,940.00p +3.45% Lonmin (LMI) 3,128.00p +3.40% London Stock Exchange Group (LSE) 1,241.00p +2.39% Vodafone Group (VOD) ...
BIGresearchs Q1 China Survey: Consumer Confidence of Young Chinese Soars as U.S. Consumer Confidence Continues to Sink
... 2008 (MARKET WIRE via COMTEX) -- The China Market continues to thrive with double-digit increases ... cash found in red envelopes from the Chinese New Year, has helped to fuel young ... as only 33.2% say the same. The stock market isnt the only market performing well in ...
Perilya bids $A294 million for miner CBH
... said the new company would have an equity market value of about $A491 million, making it ... said the deal had the support of Japans Toho Zinc Co Ltd, which has a ...
New government will have to live up to promises
... By Farhan Bokhari, Special to Gulf News Pakistans newly elected government, which began its tenure ... on the broad economy. Yesterday, the Karachi stock exchanges representative KSE-100 index rose moderately, leaving the ...
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
JSC Halyk SavingBank - Final Results
... David Cranmer david.cranmer@fd.com +44 (0)20 7269 7217 Moscow: Leonid Solovyev leonid.solovyev@fd.com +7 495 795 06 ... The company news service from the London Stock Exchange END FR SEESAISASESD ...
Russia power producer OGK-1 to be sold Apr 17
... news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Reuters ...
Monday, March 24, 2008
JSE-listed company believes its gensets can offer some short-term relief
Equipment-supply company Barloworld Equipment is seeking to pump more than 500 MW of Caterpillar electric generating equipment into the economy this year to help
Chinas Shanghai Index Sinks 4.5 Percent
Chinese stocks fell sharply Monday as institutional investors sat out the market despite hopes that Ma Ying-jeous election as Taiwans president will bring an economic boost to the region.
Japanese Property, Financial Stocks Rise
Japanese shares rose Friday, buoyed by gains in property developers and financial issues. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 222.13 points, or 1.81 percent, to close at 12,482.57 on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The index rose following a 2.48 percent advance Wednesday.
Saturday, March 22, 2008
The rate cuts winners and losers
The Feds move means payments for adjustable-rate mortgages and variable-rate credit cards could drop soon. Savers will have it tougher, and home-equity loans will be harder to get.
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Wachovia says housing downturn nowhere near over
(Reuters) - Wachovia Corp (WB.N: Quote, Profile, Research), which offers adjustable-rate mortgages that let borrowers decide how much to pay each month, believes the U.S. housing downturn is far from over, Chief Risk Officer Don Truslow said.
"It feels like we have a ways to go," Truslow said on a Deutsche Bank Securities Inc conference call. Referring to the nine innings of a baseball game, Truslow said he was "unsure" whether the downturn was in the third, fourth or fifth inning, but "we haven't reached the seventh-inning stretch."
Charlotte, North Carolina-based Wachovia, the fourth-largest U.S. bank, on February 28 said it expected first-half loan losses to exceed 0.75 percent of loans on an annualized basis in 2008, higher than it had forecast two weeks earlier.
Liberty CEO says he was point man in IAC talks
(Reuters) - Liberty Media Chief Executive Greg Maffei said on Wednesday that he was the point man in talks with IAC/InterActiveCorp over disengaging the two companies despite a long-standing relationship between Liberty Chairman John Malone and IAC CEO Barry Diller.
"John Malone considered Barry Diller a friend" after a business partnership of nearly 12 years, Maffei told a Delaware court, where IAC and controlling shareholder Liberty are battling over a proposal to spin off four of IAC's businesses.
"While (Malone) was not entirely happy and increasingly unhappy with the performance at IAC ... because of the friendship, I don't think (he) was willing to tackle some of the issues," Maffei said. "I have been in effect the point person. I don't believe it's a personal matter."
Liberty's board put him in that role despite concerns of a potential conflict between Maffei and Diller. The two had clashed over IAC's purchase of online travel site Expedia several years before.
IAC and Liberty sued each other in January after Diller proposed a spinoff plan that would dilute Liberty's majority voting control over the businesses as separate entities.
The plan followed more than a year of inconclusive talks on a possible swap that would give IAC's HSN shopping network to Liberty in return for Liberty's stake in IAC.
Diller, a former television and film executive, built IAC with Malone's backing over more than a decade. While Liberty owns about 30 percent of IAC shares, it holds 62 percent voting control through a second class of super-voting stock.
Societe Generale Says Another Employee Held by Police
(Bloomberg) -- Societe Generale SA, the French bank stung by a record trading loss of 4.9 billion euros ($7.6 billion), said a second employee has been taken into police custody as part of the investigation into unauthorized trades.
The headquarters of France's second-biggest bank in La Defense, just outside Paris, were searched by police today, who took some documents, Societe Generale spokeswoman Laura Schalk said in an interview.
The latest development deepens a probe that began after the bank said in January that 31-year-old trader Jerome Kerviel amassed 50 billion euros in trades backed by fake hedges and false documents. Unwinding his bets resulted in the biggest trading loss in banking history and forced Societe Generale to replenish depleted capital.
``It's normal for the investigation to widen, and we will see where this brings us, given that many people said Kerviel could not have acted alone,'' said Arnaud Scarpaci, who helps manage about $235 million at Agilis Gestion SA in Paris. ``At an image level, it's not the best for the company.''
Societe Generale failed to follow up on 75 warnings on bets by Kerviel, independent board members concluded in a report last month. While the board has twice turned down Chairman Daniel Bouton's offer to resign, the document highlighted the shortcomings of Societe Generale's management supervision that allowed Kerviel to forge documents and emails undetected for more than two years.
Unidentified Broker
The Societe Generale employee taken into custody today is the second broker to be questioned in the Kerviel case. Moussa Bakir, a 32-year-old broker at Newedge, was questioned and released last month. Kerviel passed trades through Societe Generale's Fimat unit, which merged in January with Credit Agricole SA's futures brokerage to form Newedge.
The police are questioning the second broker, Isabelle Montagne, a spokeswoman for Paris prosecutors, said today in a telephone interview. She declined to name the broker. She said the broker was taken into custody mid-morning and would be held for 24 hours. The detention could be extended to up to 48 hours.
Kerviel, who admitted to exceeding his trading limits and faking documents to show his bets were covered by hedges, has been interrogated six times since he was incarcerated on Feb. 8. He has been charged with hacking into the bank's computers, falsifying documents and breach of trust.
The latest development comes just two days before a hearing at the Paris appeals court to consider his release.
U.S. Stocks Rise, Led by Industrials, on Caterpillar Forecast
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks gained for a second day, extending the market's biggest rally in five years, after forecasts from Caterpillar Inc. and Bear Stearns Cos. spurred speculation that profits will rebound this year.
Caterpillar, the largest maker of bulldozers, rose the most in three months after saying emerging markets will boost sales. Bear Stearns, the second-biggest underwriter of U.S. mortgage bonds, climbed after Chief Executive Officer Alan Schwartz told CNBC the firm has enough money to weather market fluctuations.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index increased 2.26 points, or 0.2 percent, to 1,322.91 at 10:44 a.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 49.99, or 0.4 percent, to 12,206.8. The Nasdaq Composite Index added 9.1, or 0.4 percent, to 2,264.86. Four stocks gained for every three that fell on the New York Stock Exchange. Shares in Europe and Asia gained.
Industrial shares contributed the most to the rally after Caterpillar said machinery orders in emerging markets and efforts to improve public works in North America and Europe will boost sales.
Monday, March 10, 2008
McDonald's February Sales Increase 12%, Led by Europe
(Bloomberg) -- McDonald's Corp.'s February sales rose more than analysts estimated as the world's biggest restaurant company lured customers with burgers and chicken sandwiches in Europe and breakfast in China.
The stock rose the most in more than a month in New York trading.
Sales at U.S. outlets open more than 13 months rose 8.3 percent, the Oak Brook, Illinois-based company said today in a statement. Comparable-store sales in Europe advanced 15 percent while gaining 11 percent in the region encompassing Asia, the Middle East and Africa. Last month's extra day for the leap year added 4 percentage points to worldwide same-store sales.
Specialty burger and chicken sandwiches spurred sales in Europe, McDonald's largest region by revenue, while breakfast boosted sales in China and longer hours helped out in Australia. In the U.S., a McSkillet breakfast burrito promotion and dollar- menu advertising lured consumers pinched by declining home values and higher fuel prices.
``McDonald's put up another remarkably strong result in Europe,'' Jason West, an analyst at Deutsche Bank Securities, wrote in a note today. The U.S. results suggest ``McDonald's is not losing share to U.S. competitors as some may have feared.''
McDonald's climbed $1.79, or 3.4 percent, to $54.06 at 10:14 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, the biggest increase since Jan. 31. The stock dropped 11 percent this year through last week after rising in each of the past five years.
The median estimate of four analysts in a Bloomberg survey was for an increase of 7.3 percent in same-store U.S. sales.
Oil Rises to Record $107 as Returns Outpace Financial Markets
(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose to a record $107 a barrel in New York as investors purchased futures because the returns have outpaced those of financial markets.
Oil in New York has surged 77 percent over the past year as the S&P 500 and Dow averages dropped. Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators increased net-long positions, or bets on higher oil prices, in the week ended March 4, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission report showed.
``We're witnessing an ongoing flow of fund buying, which isn't particularly motivated by the particulars of the petroleum market,'' said Tim Evans, an energy analyst at Citigroup Global Markets Inc. in New York. ``Prices have rallied to such an extent where sellers have backed off. Any time prices go lower the buyers come right back into the market.''
Crude oil for April delivery rose $1.36, or 1.3 percent, to $106.51 a barrel at 10:55 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures surged to $107 a barrel today, the highest since trading began in 1983.
Blackstone Profit Falls 89% on Credit Market Meltdown
(Bloomberg) -- Blackstone Group LP, manager of the world's largest buyout fund, said fourth-quarter profit plunged 89 percent after a ``meltdown'' in the credit markets and warned that getting loans for takeovers will be hard in 2008.
Profit excluding costs tied to its June initial public offering declined to $88 million, or 8 cents a share, from $808.1 million, or 72 cents, a year earlier, the New York-based company said today in a statement. Blackstone fell as much as 5.2 percent in New York trading as earnings missed analysts' estimates.
``Credit market problems persist and if anything have gotten worse,'' Blackstone President Tony James said on a conference call with reporters today. ``We're looking to 2009 before we see much of an improvement.''
Blackstone, which has lost 55 percent of its market value since the IPO, hasn't completed a takeover of more than $2 billion in five months as credit costs doubled and the LBO market shut down. It's struggling to close the $6.6 billion buyout of Alliance Data Systems Corp., the Dallas-based credit- card processor, announced in May.
Earnings were hurt by a decline in fees earned by completing acquisitions and a writedown of its investment in New York-based bond insurer Financial Guaranty Insurance Co. Blackstone invested $2.33 billion of capital in the quarter, down 31 percent from a year earlier.
Net Loss
``Among the risks are that LBO financing conditions continue to worsen and erode Blackstone's ability to earn sufficient private-equity returns,'' Bank of America Corp. analyst Michael Hecht wrote in a March 6 report to investors. Hecht, who is based in New York, cut his fourth-quarter estimate to 11 cents from 25 cents. The average estimate of seven analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was 20 cents a share.
Blackstone fell 55 cents, or 3.7 percent, to $14.03 at 10:17 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. It earlier fell to $13.82, the lowest since the IPO.
Blackstone reported a fourth-quarter net loss of $170 million because of compensation costs tied to the IPO. Revenue rose 17 percent to $3.05 billion. The firm agreed to buy GSO Capital Partners LP for as much as $930 million in January to expand investments in distressed debt and leveraged loans.
``Despite the meltdown'' in credit markets, the company sees deal opportunities, especially in Asia, Chairman Stephen Schwarzman said in the statement.
Assets under management jumped 47 percent to $102.4 billion, driven by real estate, which doubled to $26.1 billion. Money-management assets rose 65 percent to $44.5 billion. Private-equity assets gained 7 percent to $31.8 billion.
Blackstone as Proxy
LBO financing evaporated last July as banks and investors pulled out of the market amid the fallout from rising subprime- mortgage delinquencies. The value of deals announced in the second half of 2007 plunged two-thirds from the first six months, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
``We're a proxy for the credit markets,'' Blackstone President Hamilton James said at the Super Returns private equity conference in Munich on Feb 26.
Still, seven of the eight analysts who rate Blackstone recommend clients buy the stock, including Hecht. The other recommendation is a ``hold.''
Other publicly traded companies that make private-equity investments also have suffered. New York-based Fortress Investment Group LLC has fallen 58 percent in the past year, while 3i Group Plc of London has lost 42 percent.
Thursday, March 6, 2008
Gold's glitter lures buyers
(Reuters) - Gold's near vertical climb to historic highs approaching the key $1,000 mark shows no sign of abating as bullish forces such as a sinking dollar and record high oil are not seen fading anytime soon.
Fears that expensive oil will stoke inflation combined with worries over potential stock market losses and the U.S. on the brink of possible economic recession will propel gold higher still, analysts say.
"Don't be surprised to see gold trade up to $1,100 (an ounce) or even $1,200 before year-end 2008," said Jeffrey Nichols, managing director of American Precious Metals Advisors.
"And, with the right confluence of economic and geopolitical developments, we could see gold spike to $1,500 or even $2,000 in the next few years," he said.
Gold hit a record high of $991.90 an ounce on Thursday and was at $986.90/987.40 at 1144 GMT. It has jumped 20 percent this year, 56 percent in the past 12 months, doubled in about 2 years and surged from a low of around $250 in August 1999.
It was previously fixed at a record high of $850 in January 1980 as high inflation linked to strong oil, Soviet intervention in Afghanistan and the impact of the Iranian revolution prompted investors to heavily buy gold. After adjusting for inflation, the 1980 high was $2,119.30 at 2007 prices.
The market has ridden waves of investor buying, which lifted prices nearly 50 percent in the past six months, ignoring a handful of negative factors, with most players betting on even higher prices this year and next.
Oil Advances to Record $105.97 as Dollar Drops to All-Time Low
(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose to a record $105.96 a barrel in New York as the U.S. dollar fell to its lowest ever against the euro.
Gold and copper also advanced to all-time highs as the sinking dollar made commodities priced in the U.S. currency cheaper. Oil closed at a record yesterday after U.S. crude inventories fell for the first time in eight weeks and OPEC refrained from raising production.
``The reason we've gone above $105 is that the market is still focused on the weakness of the dollar,'' Olivier Jakob, managing director of Petromatrix Gmbh in Zug, Switzerland, said. ``It's going to take more signs of demand destruction around the world before oil stops gaining on the dollar.''
Crude oil for April delivery rose as much as $1.45, or 1.4 percent, to a $105.97 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest since futures began trading in 1983. The contract traded for $105.15 at 1:11 p.m. in London.
Brent crude for April settlement rose as much as $1.31, or 1.3 percent, to match the $102.95 a barrel record previously set on March 3. The contract was at $102 on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange at 1:14 p.m. local time.
The euro climbed to $1.5347, the highest level since the single currency's debut in 1999, on speculation the European Central Bank will hold its key interest rate at a more than six- year high as the Federal Reserve keeps cutting its benchmark rate.
``If you think the dollar will weaken then you may choose to sell the dollar and go long commodities,'' said Harry Tchilinguirian, senior analyst at BNP Paribas SA in London. ``Robust fundamental outlooks, as in the case for oil, present potential to strongly offset the decline in the nominal value of the dollar.''
Ambac to Sell Half the Company, Bet May Not Pay Off
(Bloomberg) -- Ambac Financial Group Inc., the bond insurer seeking capital to salvage its AAA credit rating, will sell half the company in a bet some investors say won't pay off.
Ambac said yesterday it plans to issue $1 billion of common stock, more than doubling the number of shares outstanding. The New York-based company will also offer $500 million of units that convert to shares in 2011.
Investors had anticipated Ambac would be bailed out by banks, which would backstop a capital raising of as much as $3 billion, enough to overcome record losses on subprime-mortgage debt. Instead, the company announced it would raise half that amount in a transaction that would dilute existing shareholders, sending Ambac down 19 percent in New York Stock Exchange trading.
``The new offering is highly diluting to existing shareholders,'' Jim Ryan, an insurance analyst at Morningstar Inc. said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. ``The market was looking for a backstop, to say the least.''
The sale of common stock, managed by Credit Suisse Group, Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp. and UBS AG, is scheduled for tonight, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Ambac fell 26 cents to $8.44 in early New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The shares have tumbled 90 percent in the past year, reducing the company's market value to $884 million.
Abandoned Plan
By proposing a sale of common shares, Ambac is reverting to a plan it abandoned in mid-January. The company announced a $1 billion sale Jan. 16, sparking a 70 percent plunge in its stock, and canceled the offering Jan. 18.
Ambac cut its dividend to 1 cent from 21 cents a share and said it will suspend writing guarantees on debt, including mortgage-backed bonds. The combined plans will probably bolster capital enough for an AAA rating, Moody's and S&P said yesterday.
Stock investors were ``expecting something different in terms of some type of a more orchestrated event that looked less like a conventional offering of common stock and more like a carefully crafted infusion from business partners,'' said Colin Glinsman, who oversees about $25 billion as chief investment officer at Oppenheimer Capital in New York.
Credit-default swaps tied to Ambac's AAA rated insurance unit rose 38 basis points to 513 basis points from 475 basis points before the announcement, according to CMA Datavision in London. A basis point on a credit-default swap contract protecting $10 million of debt from default for five years is equivalent to $1,000 a year.
CDO Losses
Credit-default swaps are financial instruments based on bonds and loans that are used to speculate on a company's ability to repay debt. They pay the buyer face value in exchange for the underlying securities or the cash equivalent should a borrower fail to adhere to its debt agreements. A rise indicates deterioration in the perception of credit quality; a decline, the opposite.
Ambac, its larger competitor MBIA Inc., and the rest of the industry stumbled after expanding beyond municipal insurance to guarantees on collateralized debt obligations that have since tumbled in value. Bond insurers with AAA ratings have guaranteed $2.4 trillion of debt.
The loss of Ambac's top rating would cast doubt on $556 billion of municipal and asset-backed securities insured by the company, forcing some investors to sell the debt and others to reduce their holdings.
Ambac, which pioneered municipal bond insurance in 1971, and the rest of the industry are reeling from their expansion into CDOs, which package pools of securities then split them into pieces with different ratings.
Tuesday, March 4, 2008
Bernanke Urges Banks to Forgive Portion of Mortgages
(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, battling the worst housing recession in a quarter century, urged lenders to forgive portions of mortgages for more borrowers whose home values have declined.
``Efforts by both government and private-sector entities to reduce unnecessary foreclosures are helping, but more can, and should, be done,'' Bernanke said in a speech in Orlando, Florida today. ``Principal reductions that restore some equity for the homeowner may be a relatively more effective means of avoiding delinquency and foreclosure.''
Bernanke's call goes beyond the stance of the Bush administration and previous Fed comments. By comparison, the central bank's Feb. 27 report to Congress called for lenders to ``pursue prudent loan workouts'' through means such as modifying mortgage terms and deferring payments.
``Delinquencies and foreclosures likely will continue to rise for a while longer,'' Bernanke said in the comments to the Independent Community Bankers of America. ``Supply-demand imbalances in many housing markets suggest that some further declines in house prices are likely.''
Subprime borrowers are about to see their mortgage rates increase more than 1 percentage point, he said. ``Declines in short-term interest rates and initiatives involving rate freezes will reduce the impact somewhat, but interest-rate resets will nevertheless impose stress on many households.''
`Vigorous Response'
In the past, homeowners could refinance, though that option is now ``largely'' gone because sales of bonds backed by subprime mortgages ``have virtually halted,'' Bernanke said. ``This situation calls for a vigorous response.''
Bernanke didn't comment in his speech text on the outlook for the economy or interest rates. Traders expect the Federal Open Market Committee to lower the benchmark rate by 0.75 percentage point by or at the panel's next meeting on March 18, based on futures prices.
Bernanke signaled in congressional testimony last week that the Fed is prepared to lower rates again even amid signs of accelerating inflation.
Yesterday, the Fed and other regulators sent letters to institutions they supervise, encouraging the banks to report on their efforts to modify mortgages at risk of default.
``This will make it easier for regulators, the mortgage industry, lawmakers and homeowners to assess the effectiveness of these efforts,'' Fed Governor Randall Kroszner said in a statement yesterday.
Foreclosures Climb
The number of U.S. homeowners entering foreclosure rose 75 percent in 2007, with more than 1 percent in some stage of foreclosure during the year, according to RealtyTrac Inc. of Irvine, California. For the year, more than 2.2 million default notices, auction notices and bank repossessions were reported on about 1.3 million properties.
``Lenders tell us that they are reluctant to write down principal,'' Bernanke said. ``They say that if they were to write down the principal and house prices were to fall further, they could feel pressured to write down principal again.''
The Fed chairman countered that by reducing the amount of the loan, this ``may increase the expected payoff by reducing the risk of default and foreclosure.''
Bernanke spoke in a state that's among the worst affected by the housing collapse. Miami home prices have dropped 17.5 percent in the past year, the most of 20 large U.S. cities, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index. Foreclosures in Florida jumped at more than double the nationwide pace, rising 158 percent in the past year, according to RealtyTrac.
Canada Cuts Rate a Half Point, Signals More Is Needed
(Bloomberg) -- The Bank of Canada cut its benchmark interest rate a half point, the first such move since 2001, and signaled it will have to act again to offset a slump in exports to the U.S.
Mark Carney, in his first decision as governor, cut the target rate for overnight loans between commercial banks to 3.5 percent, the lowest since March 2006. Thirteen of 26 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predicted the move.
``Further monetary stimulus is likely to be required in the near term,'' the central bank said today in a statement from Ottawa. Signs of economic slowdown in Canada are ``materializing and, in some respects, intensifying.''
Tumbling exports to the U.S. will limit 2008 economic growth to a seven-year low of 1.8 percent, the central bank says, and have erased the country's broad trade surplus for the first time since 1999. The bigger rate cut today also helps catch up with moves this year by the U.S. Federal Reserve, and may slow the Canadian dollar's advance that has battered manufacturers.
``There are clear signs that the U.S. economy is likely to experience a deeper and more prolonged slowdown than had been projected,'' which will have ``significant spillover effects on the global economy,'' the Bank of Canada said today.
Canada's decision comes two days before meetings of the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank, where economists predict policy makers will keep rates unchanged.
Further Cuts
``With further rate cuts clearly needed to insure against the downside risks from a rapidly softening U.S. economy, and since monetary policy acts with a lag, we see no reason for the Bank of Canada to wait,'' Jacqui Douglas, economics strategist at TD Securities in Toronto, said before the decision.
The Fed is expected to cut borrowing costs again on March 18. Canada's benchmark is now half a point greater than that of the U.S., narrowing what was the biggest gap since June 2004. That premium has helped keep Canada's currency close to a record high.
The currency rose to a record 90.58 Canadian cents per U.S. dollar on Nov. 7 and has gained 26 percent in three years. Today it weakened 0.3 percent to 99.32 Canadian cents per U.S. dollar at 9:19 a.m. in Toronto.
Canada sends about three-quarters of its exports to the U.S., making the two countries the world's biggest trading partners, and the high dollar makes those goods less competitive. The U.S. economic woes have sapped demand for Canadian lumber and automobiles, two of the five biggest exports.
Monday, February 25, 2008
Getty Images to be sold to Hellman & Friedman
Auction-Rate Bonds Force `Predatory' Yields on Cities
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. municipal borrowers from Camden, New Jersey, to Sacramento, California, may face a third week of higher interest costs as failures in the auction-rate bond market persist.
Auctions run by banks to determine the rate on more than $45 billion of bonds didn't attract enough buyers last week, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. research. Even some successful auctions resulted in rates that were twice what borrowers paid in January, as investors who submitted bids demanded higher yields.
``The market right now is very predatory,'' said Marcia Maurer, chief financial officer of the Sacramento Regional County Sanitation District. The agency's weekly expense on $250 million of debt more than doubled to $343,000 from last month.
Investors enticed by rates that jumped as high as 20 percent are seeking opportunities in the $330 billion market no longer supported by dealers from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Citigroup Inc. and UBS AG that for years committed their capital to prevent failures. Thousands of unsuccessful auctions have driven up taxpayers' borrowing costs and left investors in the securities unable to get their money.
``Aggressive institutional investors have moved in to pick up auction-rate issues at short-term rates ranging from 5 percent to as much as 15 percent or more,'' George Friedlander, a municipal strategist at Citigroup in New York, said in a report at the end of last week.
Failure Rate
Four of the biggest agents that collect orders from bond dealers and determine winning rates reported failures on 258, or 67 percent, of 386 auctions Feb 22. That's in line with the average since Feb. 15, according to data compiled by Bank of America Corp. and Bloomberg.
Auction bonds, created in 1984, had until recent months allowed municipalities, hospitals, student lenders and funds to borrow long-term at money-market costs by adjusting interest rates through bidding every seven, 28 or 35 days.
When an auction fails, the rate reverts to a ``maximum'' specified in bond documents, or one pegged to money-market benchmarks. Holders of the bonds are stuck with the securities until a later auction attracts enough demand.
Hedge funds and other non-traditional investors showed ``strong interest'' last week in tax-exempt deals with high rates, Alex Roever, a JPMorgan fixed-income analyst, said in an e-mail. The average rate for seven-day municipal auction bonds rose to a record 6.59 percent on Feb. 13 from 4.03 percent the previous week, according to a Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association index.
Closed-End Funds
Many of last week's failures occurred at auctions of debt issued by closed-end funds with penalty rates ranging from 3 percent to 6 percent, data compiled by Deutsche Bank AG, Bank of New York Mellon Corp., Wells Fargo & Co. and Wilmington Trust Corp. show. Closed-end funds have about $60 billion in auction securities outstanding. Municipalities have $166 billion.
The auction-rate market began unraveling late last year as investor confidence in the health of bond insurers backing many of the securities waned. A bank bailout of New York-based Ambac Financial Group Inc. might come as soon as this week, according to a person familiar with rescue talks.
The collapse accelerated as banks including Citigroup and UBS, which have taken losses of about $162 billion from securities related to the collapse of subprime mortgages, grew unwilling to commit capital to support the auctions.
Citigroup May Post First-Quarter Loss, Whitney Says
(Bloomberg) -- Citigroup Inc., the biggest U.S. bank by assets, may post its second-straight quarterly loss because of writedowns on home-equity loans and junk-grade corporate loans, Oppenheimer & Co.'s Meredith Whitney said.
The bank may post a loss of $1.6 billion, or 28 cents a share, for the first quarter, compared with a profit of about $5 billion, or $1.01, a year earlier, Whitney wrote today in a note to clients. The prediction compares with the 63-cents per share average of 12 analyst estimates surveyed by Bloomberg.
The rate of loan losses is ``grossly underestimated by consensus estimates'' at Citigroup and other U.S. banks, Whitney wrote. ``Core fundamentals are rapidly deteriorating.'' She cut her per-share estimate for 2008 earnings by more than 70 percent to 75 cents. The New York-based company's shares could fall more than 36 percent to less than $16, she wrote. They've declined about 15 percent this year.
Citigroup posted a $9.8 billion loss for the fourth quarter, the widest in its 196-year history, after writing down subprime mortgage-linked collateralized debt obligations whose value plummeted last year as investors shunned securities linked to the least creditworthy borrowers. Vikram Pandit stepped in as chief executive officer in December, after Charles O. ``Chuck'' Prince was forced to resign.
Whitney was among the first analysts to gauge the depth of Citigroup's losses, writing in a note last October that the bank may have to cut dividend payments to shareholders for the first time since the 1990s. In January, the bank slashed its dividend by 41 percent, reversing a pledge made by its executive- committee chairman, former U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, to preserve the shareholder payout.
Visa May Raise as Much as $17 Billion in Initial Sale
(Bloomberg) -- Visa Inc. may raise as much as $17 billion in what would be the biggest U.S. initial public stock offering.
Visa, the world's largest payment-card network, plans to sell 406 million Class A shares for $37 to $42 each, the San Francisco-based company said in a regulatory filing today. Banks have the option of selling an additional 40.6 million shares, pushing the potential size of the deal to $18.8 billion.
The company is trying to replicate the success of its smaller rival, MasterCard Inc., whose shares have surged more than fivefold since a May 2006 IPO. Demand for initial public offerings has waned this year, with 97 companies raising $12 billion, or 43 percent less than in the same period last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
At the high end of the projected range, Visa's transaction would be the world's second-biggest IPO, after the $22 billion raised by Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. in 2006.
Thursday, February 21, 2008
Microsoft to open up some key software blueprints
(Reuters) - Microsoft Corp said on Thursday that it would make key technology elements of some of its best-selling software products widely available to boost interoperability of its software with that of competitors and customers.
To make connecting Microsoft products with third-party software products easier, Microsoft will publish on its Web site key software blueprints, known as application program interfaces, pertaining to its high-volume products used by other Microsoft products.
Microsoft also pledged not to sue open-source developers for development or noncommercial distribution of those software blueprints.
In January, the European Commission launched new antitrust investigations into Microsoft to see whether the company broke competition rules to help its Web browser and its Office and Outlook products.
Morgan Stanley Hires Kenneth deRegt to New Role Overseeing Risk
(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley, the second-biggest U.S. securities firm by market value, hired Kenneth deRegt to a new position in the office of the chairman, where he will oversee risk management and internal controls.
DeRegt, who worked at Morgan Stanley for 20 years before joining Aetos Capital in 2002, will start on Feb. 25 and join the firm's management committee, according to an internal memo today from John Mack, Morgan Stanley's chief executive officer. The contents of the memo were confirmed by Mark Lake, a spokesman in New York.
Microsoft to Change Technology Practices in Bid to Appease EU
(Bloomberg) -- Microsoft Corp., the world's biggest software maker, announced a series of changes in its technology and in how much information it gives developers about its products, in a bid to satisfy European regulators.
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
AT&T, Verizon May Fall Further as Flat Rates Portend Price War
(Bloomberg) -- AT&T Inc. and Verizon Communications Inc. declined for the second straight day in New York trading after adopting flat-rate mobile calling plans that could be the opening salvos in a price war.
AT&T and Verizon Wireless, the two top U.S. wireless carriers, announced plans yesterday to sell unlimited calls for a flat fee of $99.99 a month. Credit Suisse cut its ratings on shares of AT&T and Verizon Communications, co-owner of Verizon Wireless. Robert W. Baird & Co. lowered its AT&T rating to match its neutral stance on Verizon Communications.
The unlimited plans, including another announced by T-Mobile USA Inc., pose a competitive challenge as U.S. mobile carriers already struggle to reach the remaining fifth of Americans that don't yet have a wireless phone. While analysts estimated the new rates may not hurt sales, they worried about future price cuts.
``There's no going back,'' said Credit Suisse's Christopher Larsen, who cut AT&T and Verizon shares to a neutral rating from the equivalent of a buy recommendation. ``It's extremely unlikely prices go up from $99, so now you've created a ceiling for what unlimited pricing will be.''
AT&T, based in San Antonio, fell $2.41, or 6.7 percent, to $33.48 at 10:13 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, the biggest drop in five years. The shares lost 5.3 percent yesterday. New York-based Verizon declined $1.60, or 4.5 percent, to $33.74, extending yesterday's 6.6 percent loss.
While the pricing plans may only affect the less than 5 percent of subscribers who pay more than $100 a month, they will convince more customers to replace their home phones with mobile handsets, said Larsen, who is based in New York.
Upper Tier
The plans announced yesterday aim at the upper tier of customers who spend about twice what an average mobile-phone user paid last quarter, as reported by AT&T and Verizon.
The new rate plans reminded Stanford Group Co.'s Michael Nelson of the day the old AT&T Wireless began selling local and long-distance service for one price.
``It turned the wireless industry upside down,'' the New York-based analyst said in an interview yesterday. ``It caused all the carriers to come up with completely new calling plans, to really revisit their entire business models.''
The flat-rate movement ``raises the risk profile for a pricing war across the entire industry,'' said Nelson.
The former AT&T Wireless, which is now part of AT&T's mobile-phone unit, started its Digital One Rate plan in 1998, erasing the distinction between local and long-distance calls on mobile phones, keeping rates flat regardless of the caller's location.
U.S. Economy: Housing Slump Fails to Quell Inflation
(Bloomberg) -- The two-year housing slump pushing the U.S. economy toward a recession hasn't alleviated inflation pressures, reports today showed.
Consumer prices rose 0.4 percent from December, with costs excluding food and energy climbing 0.3 percent, the most since June 2006, the Labor Department said. Builders started work on 1.012 million homes at an annual rate in January, close to a 16- year low, the Commerce Department reported in Washington.
The figures mean Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will need to consider raising interest rates as soon as the economy stabilizes. Bernanke, who last week said the Fed is prepared to keep lowering interest rates, warned that faster inflation would ``greatly complicate'' the central bank's job.
``What this means is that they don't have as much comfort to play with rates,'' Ellen Zentner, an economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, said on Bloomberg Television, referring to Fed officials. ``Once the U.S. economy looks like it's started to stabilize, they're going to have to jump right back in to that, raising rates back up to neutral.''
Treasury securities slumped after the consumer price report, while recouping most of the losses later. Ten-year note yields increased to 3.93 percent at 9:54 a.m. in New York from 3.90 percent late yesterday. The Standard & Poor's 500 stock index lost 0.8 percent, to 1,337.97.
Lowest Since 1991
Building permits, an indication of future construction, fell 3 percent to a 1.048 million rate, the lowest level since November 1991, today's Commerce report showed.
Housing starts were projected to rise to a 1.01 million pace from an originally reported 1.006 million rate in December, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of 72 economists. Permits were forecast to drop to a 1.05 million rate, from 1.068 million in December.
``We don't think housing has hit bottom yet,'' said Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto. ``Until we get some stabilization in sales or even a mild improvement, it's likely that construction will continue to weaken.''
A jump in food and energy costs, rents and clothing prices led the consumer-price index higher last month. Economists had forecast a 0.3 percent increase, with the so-called core rate gaining 0.2 percent, Bloomberg surveys showed.
Today's price report ``certainly showed a broad-based intensification of inflation pressures,'' said Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York. While the Fed currently ``is looking at growth,'' inflation ``will come back on the radar screen'' when economic data improve, he said.
Food Costs
Food prices, which account for about one-seventh of the CPI, rose 0.7 percent, matching the biggest gain since May 2004, after a 0.1 percent increase in January. Energy prices last month increased 0.7 percent, after rising 1.7 percent the previous month.
``Even if energy prices remain flat, the continued rise in retail food prices will damp consumer spending growth,'' JPMorgan Chase & Co. economists wrote in a note to clients last week.
Fuel costs were up 4.5 percent. Apparel prices rose 0.4 percent after a 0.1 percent increase in December.
The consumer price index is the government's broadest gauge of costs for goods and services. Almost 60 percent of the CPI covers prices that consumers pay for services ranging from medical visits to airline fares and movie tickets.
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
U.S. Stocks Rise, Led by Energy Companies; European Shares Gain
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks rose, led by energy and mining companies, after oil gained for the seventh time in eight days and copper climbed to a four-month high.
Exxon Mobil Corp., the biggest U.S. fuel company, and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., the world's second-largest copper producer, advanced. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the biggest retailer, increased after fourth-quarter profit topped analysts' estimates. Rallies in raw-materials producers lifted Asia's stock benchmark to a two-week high, while European shares rebounded from earlier losses as insurers rose.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index added 14.13 points, or 1.1 percent, to 1,364.12 as of 9:41 a.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 121.63, or 1 percent, to 12,469.84. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 22.46, or 1 percent, to 2,344.26. The U.S. market was closed yesterday for Presidents' Day.
``The general earnings picture is quite good,'' said Lincoln Anderson, the Boston-based chief investment officer of LPL Financial Services, which helps oversee about $271 billion. ``U.S. stocks are sort of on sale.''
Fourth-quarter profit for the S&P 500's 412 members that have reported results dropped by an average 19 percent, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Excluding financial companies, earnings climbed 18 percent. The S&P 500 trades at 13.9 times its members' estimated 2008 profit, based on analysts' projections compiled by Bloomberg. Index members last traded at a valuation of less than 14 times historic earnings in 1990.
Weekly Gain
The S&P 500 rose last week for the third time in a month after the biggest jump in oil since November lifted energy producers, and earnings from consumer companies exceeded analysts' estimates.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 1.6 percent today to a two-week high as Rio Tinto Group said it's seeking a bigger price increase for its iron ore from steelmakers than the 65 percent obtained by a rival.
Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index rose 0.9 percent after earlier declining as much as 1.3 percent. A gauge of insurers added 2.1 percent for the biggest gain among 18 industry groups.
Medco profit tops estimates
(Reuters) - Medco Health Solutions Inc (MHS.N: Quote, Profile, Research) reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings on Tuesday, helped by sales of generic drugs, and the pharmacy benefit manager boosted its full-year profit forecast, sending its shares higher.
Medco, which derives more than half its profit from home delivery of generic medicines by mail, said its rosier outlook reflected confidence in its fundamentals, new business, and more generics becoming available sooner than anticipated.
Pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs), which administer prescription drug benefits for employers and health plans and operate large mail-order pharmacies, have profited from the availability of low-cost generic versions of popular drugs.
Morgan Stanley analyst David Veal said in a research note, "Another quarter of solid growth, when coupled with higher guidance, affirm our positive view of the PBM industry and should offer relief for the high level of investor nervousness around the quarter."
After a huge gain in 2007, Medco shares were down 3 percent this year through Friday's close, compared with a 13 percent drop for rival Express Scripts Inc (ESRX.O: Quote, Profile, Research). Medco shares rose 4 percent to $51 in pre-market trading on Tuesday.
Fourth-quarter net income fell 9 percent to $207.6 million, or 38 cents per share, from $228.8 million, or 39 cents per share, a year earlier.
The latest results were hurt by higher-than-expected costs tied to new clients and expenses related to two acquisitions. The year-earlier earnings were boosted by the temporary availability of a generic version of a popular blood thinner.
Monday, February 18, 2008
Home movie DVD battle won, hard sell begins
(Reuters) - Consumers will be the winners, through better quality home movies and lower prices, when Toshiba Corp finally calls time on its DVD technology, ending a long-running battle to set the format for next-generation discs.
Viewers seeking sharper movies on high-definition DVDs will no longer have to choose between rival incompatible formats. A single format should help accelerate the shift to the new technology in the $24 billion home DVD market.
But, while they will get better audio quality and higher resolution pictures -- and they will likely wait for DVD player prices to halve -- consumers will probably have to upgrade their television sets to make the most of them.
Sony Corp's Blu-ray technology is close to winning the format war for home movie DVDs after a source at Toshiba said it was planning to exit its HD DVD business after Hollywood studios and big retailers such as Wal-Mart Stores Inc backed Blu-ray.
"This has been a long overdue end to the format war that has frustrated and confused consumers, and will allow vendors to focus resources on the Blu-ray technology," said Claudio Checchia, an analyst with research firm IDC.
"I would expect a more aggressive push towards Blu-ray in the second half, resulting in more movie content, more stand-alone DVD players, and prices for these players falling to attractive levels by Christmas."
Checchia said the cheapest Blu-ray player on the market was Sony's PlayStation 3 video game console, costing about $400.
Northern Rock a lingering risk to Brown's future
(Reuters) - Nationalizing ailing Northern Rock bank may be the best option left to British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, but lingering doubts over its future risk chipping away at public confidence in the run up to the next election.
Hopes for a fast Northern Rock turnaround are hostage to financial markets stabilizing, a buoyant housing market returning and approval for nationalization from the European Union that does not result in a breakup and big job losses.
Brown has staked his credibility on protecting Britain from the fallout of the global credit crisis. But with the economy and the housing market slowing, he will be in the firing line if things get worse and the public looks for someone to blame.
And if those with Northern Rock mortgages get houses repossessed in a downturn, the chances are high that newspapers hostile to the ruling Labour government will use their headlines to attack Brown's policies.
So just as the Iraq war and a scandal over political party funding dogged former Prime Minister Tony Blair until he finally threw in the towel last year, so Northern Rock risks becoming a millstone for Brown.
"It was interesting that Brown was saying the test for the government is economic stability as there are no guarantees it would pass that test given the turmoil could still pass through to the economy," said Philip Shaw, chief economist at banking group Investec.
Rio Seeks Higher Prices Than Vale in Iron-Ore Talks
(Bloomberg) -- Rio Tinto Group, the world's second- largest iron-ore producer, is seeking bigger price increases from Asia steelmakers than Brazilian rival Cia. Vale do Rio Doce.
Rio wants to receive a ``freight premium'' to reflect the lower cost for customers in China, Japan and South Korea of shipping ore from ports in Australia rather than Brazil, it said today in a statement distributed by the Regulatory News Service. Nippon Steel Corp., JFE Holdings Inc. and Posco today said they agreed to a 65 percent increase in Vale's prices from April 1.
This ``could mark the end of the `one price fits all' settlements of the last few decades,'' Michael Rawlinson, head of mining, resources and energy at Liberum Capital Ltd. in London, wrote today in a report. A full recovery by Rio of the freight premium to China would mean a ``massive'' 154 percent boost in ore prices, he said.
In comparison, JFE agreed to a 71 percent boost for higher- grade ore from Vale's Carajas mine in Brazil, while the biggest- ever annual gain was 71.5 percent in the year that started April 1, 2005.
Contract prices for the steelmaking ingredient have risen to a record for a sixth straight year as China boosts output of the metal to feed a construction boom. Soaring freight fees last year added to the price increases for Asian steelmakers and made iron ore from Australia more cost effective than Brazilian supplies.
Carajas Settlement
Rio Tinto ``will continue to negotiate to obtain a freight premium, to reflect its proximity to Asia and its major customers,'' Sam Walsh, chief executive officer of the London- based company's iron ore unit, said today in the statement.
Rio will also seek ``further customer clarification about the settlements, and in particular the settlement for Carajas ore, which is the relevant reference ore for Rio Tinto products,'' Walsh said.
BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's largest mining company, tried and failed to negotiate a freight premium in 2005, Macquarie analyst Jim Lennon said today by telephone from London. The company didn't get the support of Rio and other producers at the time, he added.
``This has never happened before, but it's certainly a possibility,'' Lennon said. ``The fact that spot prices are three times higher than contract prices means that 65 percent is almost being viewed as a disappointment by the market.''
BHP, based in Melbourne, has started seeking regulatory approvals for its increased $141 billion all-share hostile bid for Rio, which was rejected by Rio on Feb. 6 as too low. A combination of the companies would rival Vale in iron-ore output.
Stocks Rise in Europe, Latin America; Credit Suisse, Vale Climb
(Bloomberg) -- European stocks rose, led by banks and metal producers, on optimism this year's 12 percent drop in the region's benchmark index was too steep given the outlook for sales. Shares in Latin America gained, while Asian equities fell.
Credit Suisse Group rose the most in three weeks in Zurich after Qatar said it's buying shares in the second-biggest Swiss bank, while Barclays Plc and Lloyds TSB Group Plc climbed in London as traders speculated on higher dividends. BHP Billiton Ltd. followed metals prices higher in Europe, while Cia. Vale do Rio Doce rallied in Sao Paulo.
The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index added 1.7 percent as of 3:18 p.m. in London, and the MSCI World Index increased 0.4 percent, as gains from Europe and Latin America more than offset declines in Australian bank shares and Japanese insurers. Futures on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.8 percent. The U.S. market is closed today for the Presidents' Day holiday.
Qatar's purchase ``gives the market a boost,'' said Salah Seddik, who helps oversee $5.9 billion at Richelieu Finance in Paris. ``There's been some good news in the financial industry. The strong declines we've seen have left some buying opportunities.''
Concern the subprime mortgage slump will lead to more losses sent Europe's Stoxx Banks Index down 17 percent this year. The gauge was valued at 7.5 times profit in the week ended Feb. 8, the lowest since at least 1998, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
The MSCI Latin America Index added 2.1 percent. Brazil's Bovespa index jumped the most in a week, advancing 2 percent, while Chile's Ipsa stock index rose 0.9 percent.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index lost 0.6 percent today, reversing an earlier gain of 0.8 percent.
European Markets
National benchmarks advanced in all 18 western European markets except Greece. France's CAC 40 rose 1.5 percent, while the U.K.'s FTSE 100 climbed 2 percent. Germany's DAX increased 1.7 percent.
The Stoxx 50 jumped 1.6 percent, as did the Euro Stoxx 50, a measure for the euro region. All of the 18 industry groups in the Stoxx 600 gained, with five stocks rising for each one that fell.
Credit Suisse rose 3.1 percent to 56.7 francs. Qatar is accumulating shares in Credit Suisse and plans to spend as much as $15 billion on European and U.S. bank stocks over the next year, the Gulf state's prime minister said in an interview.
``We have a relation with Credit Suisse and we bought some of the stock from the market, actually, but I cannot say what percentage because still we are in the process,'' Sheikh Hamad bin Jasim bin Jaber al-Thani, who is also chief executive officer of the Qatar Investment Authority, said in an interview late yesterday in Doha.
Barclays, Lloyds TSB
Barclays, the U.K.'s third-biggest bank, jumped 6.8 percent to 456.5 pence. Lloyds TSB, the U.K.'s No. 1 provider of unsecured loans, increased 6.4 percent to 421 pence.
Barclays and Lloyds, which are seeking to quell concern about financial institutions, are expected to report ``robust'' results, the newspaper said. Barclays will lift its dividend by 10 percent on Feb. 19, the Times reported, without saying where it got the information.
Barclays spokesman Robin Tozer and a Lloyds TSB spokesman Leigh Calder declined to comment on the report.
HBOS Plc, the U.K.'s biggest mortgage lender, advanced 4.1 percent to 633.5 pence. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, the U.K.'s second-largest bank, added 2.9 percent to 360.75 pence.
UBS AG fell 1.2 percent to 35.58 francs after a Bear Stearns Cos. analyst downgraded the stock, forecasting more writedowns on debt holdings.
New disclosure of holdings affected by the subprime debacle ``revealed the full and frightening extent of UBS's potential problems,'' Christopher Wheeler wrote, cutting his stock recommendation to ``peer perform'' from ``outperform.''
Steel Price Accord
Vale do Rio Doce surged the most in three weeks, climbing 5.7 percent to 49.15 reais.
Asia's three largest steelmakers agreed to pay Rio de Janeiro- based Vale, the world's biggest iron-ore producer, 65 percent more than last year for the material. Vale said the price increase shows the market is going through ``very tight conditions.''
ArcelorMittal, the world's largest steelmaker, gained 1.4 percent to 48.22 euros. Nippon Steel Corp., the second-biggest, rose 3.2 percent to 575 yen, its highest close since Feb. 7.
``It's good that the price increases are being decided early,'' Alan Coats, an analyst at HSBC Holdings Plc in London, said today in a telephone interview. ``It means they can be passed on.''
BHP Billiton
BHP Billiton, the world's largest mining company, gained 3.9 percent to 1,612 pence. Vedanta Resources Plc, India's biggest copper producer, climbed 3.9 percent to 2,153 pence.
Copper advanced to the highest in almost four months in London after China, the world's largest user, said imports grew 6.6 percent in January from the previous month. The metal for delivery in three months rose 2.3 percent to $7,910 a metric ton, the highest intraday price since Oct. 29. Zinc and lead also climbed.
Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., Australia's third-largest bank, dropped 6.1 percent to A$22.46, the lowest since September 2005, after its chief executive said a ``bloodbath'' in debt markets will wipe out earnings growth.
Commonwealth Bank of Australia, the country's top mortgage lender, lost 5.1 percent to A$44.
Aioi Insurance Co., Japan's fourth-largest nonlife insurer, tumbled 6.8 percent to 439 yen, after a newspaper said it will have $740 million of subprime-related losses.
Thursday, February 14, 2008
Comcast, Pressured by Holders, Sets Buyback, Dividend
(Bloomberg) -- Comcast Corp., the cable-TV operator pressured to boost investor returns, said it will buy back $6.9 billion of its stock over two years and pay its first dividend in almost a decade, sending the shares up the most in five years.
Fourth-quarter net income rose 54 percent to $602 million, or 20 cents a share, from $390 million, or 13 cents, a year earlier, Philadelphia-based Comcast said today in a statement. Profit beat the 17-cent average of 17 analysts' estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Sales gained 14 percent to $8.01 billion.
The buyback and annual dividend of 25 cents followed criticism from investors including Chieftain Capital Management Inc., who said Comcast's acquisitions and capital spending were excessive. Last month, Chieftain called for Comcast to reward shareholders and oust Chief Executive Officer Brian Roberts.
``Investors had been looking for a return of cash,'' Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. analyst Craig Moffett said in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. ``That signals confidence from the management that they really do believe that capital intensity is going to fall. We got that this morning in a big share repurchase.''
Moffett, based in New York, rates the stock ``outperform.''
Comcast rose $1.26, or 7.1 percent, to $19.07 at 9:32 a.m. New York time in Nasdaq Stock Market trading, after gaining as much as 7.2 percent, its biggest rise since October 2002. The stock had declined 35 percent in the past year before today.
The company may increase its dividend ``over time,'' co- Chief Financial Officer Michael Angelakis said on a conference call.
New York's Dinallo Considers Splitting Bond Insurers
(Bloomberg) -- Bond insurers may be split into two pieces to bolster credit ratings and protect municipalities and bondholders, New York's top insurance regulator plans to tell Congress.
One part would operate the profitable municipal bond insurance business, while the other would handle so-called structured finance products, according to testimony prepared for Eric Dinallo, the New York State insurance superintendent. Dinallo is scheduled to address a U.S. congressional committee today.
``Our first priority will be to protect the municipal bondholders and issuers,'' according to Dinallo's testimony. ``We cannot allow the millions of individual Americans who invested in what was a low-risk investment lose money because of subprime excesses. Nor should subprime problems cause taxpayers to unnecessarily pay more to borrow for essential capital projects.''
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Coca-Cola profit rises sharply
(Reuters) - Coca-Cola Co (KO.N: Quote, Profile, Research), the world's largest maker of soft drinks, reported higher-than-expected quarterly profit on Wednesday, helped by higher sales, acquisitions and foreign exchange rates.
Coca-Cola said fourth-quarter net income was $1.21 billion, or 52 cents per share, compared with $678 million, or 29 cents per share, a year ago.
Excluding charges, Coke earned 58 cents per share, topping analysts' average estimate of 55 cents, according to Reuters Estimates.
Net operating revenue rose to $7.33 billion from $5.93 billion a year ago, helped by a 6 percent increase in sales of drink concentrate, the company's main business.
Currency exchange rates boosted revenue 8 percentage points, since the weak dollar versus foreign currencies increases the value of international sales when they are converted to U.S. dollars for inclusion on the company's income statement.
Unit case volume rose 5 percent in the quarter, supported by acquisitions.
Coke, which owns about 35 percent of its bottler Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc (CCE.N: Quote, Profile, Research), saw its year-ago profit impacted by an asset write-down the bottler took related to its North American franchise license.
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
JD Group: More cases pending
(Fin24) - The Financial Services Providers' ombud is investigating eight other cases pertaining to the lending practices of furniture retailer JD Group.
The complaints relate to dealings with, among others: JD group businesses Bradlows, Hi-Fi Corporation, Russells, and Price n Pride, as well as Ellerines, Lewis, The Furniture Shop and OK Furniture.
This follows a ruling by FSP obmud Charles Pillai, which found that JD Group subsidiary Barnetts had circumvented the FAIS Act.
The company was ordered to pay back charges, interest on those charges and case fees to a customer who had bought a television and stove on credit, after Pillai found the customer - Ntiya Thuliswe Gumede, a domestic worker earning R300 a week - had not been made aware of the terms and conditions of the sale of a stove and television she had bought at Barnetts' Port Shepstone branch.
David Davidson at the ombud's office says they had eight cases relating to JD Group, prior to the determination being made public.
Davidson says that the cases are still to be investigated, first to determine whether they fall within their jurisdiction and also whether they any grounds.
The complaints relate to dealings with, among others: JD group businesses Bradlows, Hi-Fi Corporation, Russells, and Price n Pride, as well as Ellerines, Lewis, The Furniture Shop and OK Furniture.
Vodafone still after Vodacom?
(Fin24) - Any notion that Vodafone will give in to Telkom's rejection of its offer for a controlling stake in Vodacom (the duo's joint cellular business) has been dismissed - at least given Vodafone CE Arun Sarin's declaration that Africa and Asia were firmly on Vodafone's growth radar screen.
Asked by Fin24 to state weather Vodafone would return for Vodacom with a revised offer, Sarin declined to answer before quickly making a dash to the exit door of a packed auditorium with a horde of Vodacom executives in tow.
In a carefully crafted speech steering clear of the company's intention to up its control of Vodacom, Sarin - addressing a large audience at the 3GSM Mobile Word Conference in Barcelona, Spain - said South Africa and India were two countries in emerging markets critical to Vodafone's growth strategy.
"Last year we recorded 15% growth in our South African-based business," said Sarin, adding that with most markets across Europe reaching saturation South Africa and India were critical to the company's growth plans.
In India - a market in which Vodafone made its foray after acquiring a controlling stake in Bharti Telecoms - the company had signed up nearly 1.5m subscribers.
"Our target in that particular market is to sign up close to 300m subscribers over the next three years," said Sarin.
Asked by Fin24 to state weather Vodafone would return for Vodacom with a revised offer, Sarin declined to answer before quickly making a dash to the exit door of a packed auditorium with a horde of Vodacom executives in tow.
Miller Says Microsoft Needs to Enhance Yahoo Offer
(Bloomberg) -- Legg Mason Inc. fund manager Bill Miller, the second-biggest shareholder of Yahoo! Inc., said Microsoft Corp. will need to raise its $44.6 billion offer to buy the Internet company.
``We think Microsoft will need to enhance its offer if it wants to complete a deal,'' Miller, 58, wrote in a Feb. 10 letter to shareholders released today by the Baltimore-based company.
Miller heads Legg Mason Capital Management, which owned about 80 million shares, or 6 percent, of Yahoo on Sept. 30, Bloomberg data show. Microsoft, the biggest software maker, on Jan. 31 bid $31-per-share to buy Yahoo, 62 percent more than the closing price the day before the offer. Yahoo yesterday rejected the bid, saying it ``substantially undervalues'' the company.
``We think this deal is a strategic imperative for Microsoft, and that Yahoo is in a tough spot if it wishes to remain independent,'' Miller wrote. ``It will be hard for Yahoo to come up with alternatives that deliver more value than Microsoft will ultimately be willing to pay.''
Microsoft, based in Redmond, Washington, responded yesterday to the Yahoo board's rejection with a statement calling its offer a ``full and fair proposal.'' The company didn't disclose its next steps and said it is ``moving forward'' with its $31-a-share bid for Sunnyvale, California-based Yahoo.
Miller said Legg Mason's own calculations put Yahoo's value in the range of $40 or more per share.
Countrywide Deal
Miller, whose subsidiary is the biggest holder of Countrywide Financial Corp., said in the letter released today that he hasn't decided to back the bid by Bank of America Corp. to buy the largest U.S. home lender.
The offer has ``truncated'' any gains in Countrywide's shares, Miller said. Bank of America, based in Charlotte, North Carolina, on Jan. 11 agreed to buy Countrywide after the stock lost 85 percent of its value in a year. The bank's takeover bid equates to less than $8 a share for Calabasas, California-based Countrywide.
TPG Seeks More Than $15 Billion for Buyout Fund, Investors Say
(Bloomberg) -- TPG Inc., the private-equity firm that last year bought TXU Corp. in the largest U.S. leveraged buyout, is seeking more than $15 billion for a new fund, according to potential investors.
The investment committee of Washington state's pension fund, which met with TPG co-founder David Bonderman Feb. 7, will recommend a $750 million commitment, said Liz Mendizabal, a spokeswoman in Olympia. Bonderman is set to discuss the fund, called TPG VI, with the Oregon Investment Council Feb. 27.
TPG, based in Fort Worth, Texas, is putting together the fund even as deal-making is stalled after a doubling of financing costs in the second half of 2007. Endowments and pension funds, seeking returns that top stocks and bonds, are increasing their investments with private-equity firms, whose assets may reach $5 trillion by 2012, according to research firm Private Equity Intelligence Ltd. in London.
``The public markets are down or soft and there's no other game,'' said Lyons Brewer, a managing director of C.P. Eaton Partners LLC, a Rowayton, Connecticut-based firm that helps buyout firms and hedge funds raise money.
Funds raised a record $502 billion last year, according to Private Equity Intelligence, including $21.7 billion by New York-based Blackstone Group LP, the industry's biggest pool.
TPG Partners IV, the $5.3 billion fund the firm started in 2003, has since returned an average of almost 36 percent a year to investors, according to data on the Web site of the California Public Employees' Retirement System.
Read more at Bloomberg
GM Posts Loss on North America; Overseas Profit Rises
(Bloomberg) -- General Motors Corp., the world's largest automaker, posted a fourth-quarter loss on shrinking sales in North America while revenue overseas rose.
The shares gained as much as 2.6 percent in New York trading as the Detroit-based company recorded a profit after excluding one-time costs. GM's net loss of $722 million followed year- earlier net income of $950 million.
The results indicate Chief Executive Officer Rick Wagoner is delivering on his pledge to rely more on overseas sales while cutting expenses at home. Wagoner said he will offer buyouts to speed the hiring of lower-paid new workers in the U.S., where industrywide sales are projected to fall to a 10-year low this year.
``Wagoner is doing the right things; he's just doing them at a time when the economy might be masking some of the favorable benefits from his actions,'' said Pete Hastings, a fixed-income analyst at Morgan Keegan & Co. in Memphis, Tennessee. Buyouts for 74,000 United Auto Workers members would be ``money well spent,'' he said.
The quarterly per-share loss was $1.28, versus the year- earlier profit of $1.68. Automotive revenue rose 7 percent to $46.7 billion, GM said in a statement today.
Not counting costs and gains the company considers one-time, GM reported an adjusted profit of $64 million, or 8 cents a share. On that basis, analysts estimated a loss of 64 cents. In North America, GM lost $1.1 billion, excluding some costs. By that measure, analysts predicted a loss of $400 million.
Shares Rise
GM rose 46 cents to $27.58 at 11:34 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading after reaching $27.83 earlier. Through yesterday, the shares had advanced 9 percent this year, the most in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
The adjusted profit stemmed mostly from a $1.6 billion tax benefit, Chief Financial Officer Fritz Henderson said. The tax gain stems from the sale of the Allison transmission unit and a $7.7 billion reduction in GM's overall pension and retiree health-care liabilities, he said.
``It was a tough quarter in North America,'' Henderson told reporters today in Detroit. ``Volumes were down, and there was tougher pricing because we had a full incentive load for our pickups.''
2007 Loss
The full-year deficit was a record $38.7 billion and included a $39 billion expense in the third quarter related to a tax-accounting change. In 2006, GM lost $1.98 billion, or $3.50 a share.
The third quarter included the $1.6 billion tax benefit and $768 million in one-time expenses.
GM had $27.3 billion in cash, readily available assets and funds from a retirement fund at the end of December, a decline from $30 billion at the end of September. The automaker ended 2007 with a negative adjusted automotive cash flow of $2.4 billion, a $2 billion improvement from 2006.
Outside the U.S., GM had a $424 million profit in the Latin America/Africa/Middle East region and a $72 million Asia-Pacific profit. Europe reported a fourth-quarter deficit of $445 million.
The automaker today also announced details of a buyout plan for its remaining 74,000 UAW employees in the U.S. The offers would provide payments of as much as $62,500 for the most-skilled workers with at least 30 years service.
Monday, February 11, 2008
Eskom's buyback plan in motion
(Fin24) - State-owned power utility Eskom is negotiating to buy electricity from local industrial firms in a bid to solve an energy crisis, Public Enterprises Minister Alec Erwin said on Monday.
Mbeki and other senior officials have blamed the country's booming economy for increasing demand for electricity, while acknowledging that warnings of such a problem went unheeded for years.
Eskom is under pressure to come up with a plan to increase power generation after weeks of rolling blackouts that have darkened millions of homes and forced businesses to shut. Large mining operations ground to a halt for five days last month.
"Large producers who would not normally want to be in electricity are now considering that there may be merit in them going into electricity production and selling to Eskom," Erwin told a media briefing in Cape Town.
Erwin told Reuters government was talking with Sasol, BHP Billiton and Anglo as it sought to boost power capacity.
"Clearly we are interested in that ... given the strictures on energy and the difficulties we have ... This opens an interesting possibility. We are in intensive negotiations now," Erwin said.
President Thabo Mbeki expressed confidence on Friday that the crisis would be solved quickly but did not give details of the
government's plan. There have been calls from media and opposition parties for him to sack several ministers.
Mbeki and other senior officials have blamed the country's booming economy for increasing demand for electricity, while acknowledging that warnings of such a problem went unheeded for years.
G7 discussed joint action to calm financial markets
(Reuters) - Finance leaders from the Group of Seven industrialized nations discussed collective action to calm markets if price moves become irrational, Eurogroup Chairman Jean-Claude Juncker was quoted as saying on Monday.
Juncker, who chairs the Eurogroup -- the monthly meetings of euro zone finance ministers and the European Central Bank -- told the Luxemburger Wort newspaper in an interview that turbulence on financial markets could continue for months.
"We are not yet at the end of the market crisis," Juncker was quoted as saying.
"The corrections will drag on for a few weeks, months. We have agreed in Tokyo that if there are irrational price movements in the markets, we will collectively take suitable measures to calm the financial markets," he said.
Asked what form such collective action may take, he said:
"Whoever has a strategy, should not set it out. Otherwise it will lose its effect if it is explained."
Finance ministers and central bankers from the G7 -- the United States, Canada, Japan, Britain, France, Germany and Italy -- said on Saturday in Tokyo that financial market turmoil was serious and persisting.
Random House to sell books by the chapter online: report
(Reuters) - Random House Publishing Group, the world's largest book publisher, is planning to test selling individual chapters of a popular book to gauge reader demand, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal.
Wall Street Shareholders Suffer Losses Partners Never Imagined
(Bloomberg) -- Less than a decade after Wall Street's last major partnership went public, stockholders are paying the price for bankrolling the industry's expanding risk appetite.
Four of the five biggest U.S. securities firms lost about $83 billion of market value last year, almost 90 percent of their net income since 1999, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That cut the annual average return for Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch & Co., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Bear Stearns Cos. during those nine years to 9.7 percent from 16.8 percent.
The private partnerships that once dominated Wall Street guarded their capital, used less leverage and limited their risk to trading blocks of stock for clients and shares of companies in mergers, said Roy Smith, a finance professor at New York University's Stern School of Business and a former partner at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Since raising money from the public, many of the biggest firms have abandoned that caution.
``If you're betting with other peoples' money, you're more willing to take risk than if it's your own,'' said Anson Beard, 71, who retired from Morgan Stanley in 1994 after 17 years at the New York-based company, where he ran the equities division and helped with the initial public offering in 1986. ``You think differently if you're paid in cash and not in ownership. It's heads you win, tails you don't lose.''
Shareholders, stung by the securities industry's losses last year on subprime mortgage-backed bonds and leveraged loans, may be in for more pain.
Shrinking Fees
Morgan Stanley, Merrill, Lehman and Bear Stearns have lost between 3 percent and 19 percent of their value this year in New York Stock Exchange trading on concern that they may be forced to take more writedowns if bond insurers like MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc. are stripped of their top credit ratings. Revenue from structured credit and leveraged finance has dropped and demand for takeover advice and underwriting may dwindle as the U.S. economy slows, analysts say.
Even Goldman has faltered. New York-based Goldman, which went public in May 1999, evaded last year's market losses and reaped record earnings. This year, the biggest and most profitable securities firm has lost 13 percent in NYSE trading, while analysts predict earnings will drop as equity stakes in companies such as Beijing-based Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. lose value and investment-banking fees decline.
Merrill, which went public in 1971, outperformed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index in just five of the past 10 years. The largest U.S. brokerage paid more to employees last year than it collected in revenue. Morgan Stanley, public since 1986, beat the index in four of the past 10 years. Both New York-based companies diluted investors' stock last year when they sold stakes to foreign governments to shore up capital.
Other People's Money
``Shareholders share in the downside and not necessarily in the upside, that's the whole story,'' said John Gutfreund, 78, who ran Salomon Brothers in the 1980s when it was renowned for the size of its trading bets. ``It's OPM: Other People's Money.''
To be sure, the firms have been good investments over a longer period. Merrill rose at an average annual rate of 14.7 percent, including dividends, from 1980 through the end of 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Bear Stearns returned an average 15.2 percent since the end of 1985 and Lehman's average annual gain was 25.5 percent since it became a separately listed company at the end of 1994.
While none of the companies are more than one-third owned by employees today, senior executives typically receive at least half their pay in shares. At Merrill, top managers get 60 percent of their compensation in stock; they're required to keep three quarters of it each year and are prohibited from hedging it, according to the brokerage's proxy statement.
Europe's Economy May Stay Sick Longer After Catching U.S. Cold
(Bloomberg) -- Europe's economy has caught the U.S.'s cold, and may be sick longer.
Persistent inflation and budget deficits may prevent policy makers in the 15 nations that share the euro from moving as aggressively as their U.S. counterparts to cut interest rates and taxes. Meanwhile, Europe's labor laws will make it harder for companies to speed a recovery in profits by reducing payrolls.
``A European downturn will take noticeably longer to run its course than the U.S. one,'' Nobel laureate Edmund Phelps, an economics professor at Columbia University in New York, said in an interview.
Next year ``might be a period of `reverse decoupling,' with the U.S. economy enjoying a sharp recovery and the euro-area economy stagnating,'' says Dario Perkins, senior European economist for ABN Amro Holding NV in London. ``A relatively inflexible economy and `sticky' inflation'' will hold Europe back, he says.
European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said twice last week that there is ``unusually high uncertainty'' about growth amid signs that Europe's resistance to the U.S. slowdown is finally wearing off.
``Risks are on the downside,'' he told reporters in Tokyo on Feb. 9 after a meeting of central bankers and finance ministers from the Group of Seven industrialized nations. The G- 7 officials said the U.S. economy may slow further, eroding global growth, and forecast no end to financial-market turmoil.
``Europe cannot go unscathed from the U.S.'s credit crisis,'' says Phelps.
Slower Growth
December retail sales in the euro region fell the most since 1995 and service industries grew in January at the slowest pace in more than four years. The European Union's statistics office will report Feb. 14 that the economy expanded 0.4 percent in the fourth quarter, half the pace of the previous three months, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
``Euro-zone growth is in trouble, and the risk of recession at some stage should not be underplayed,'' says David Brown, chief European economist at Bear Stearns International in London. He says the region will be ``very lucky'' to expand 1.5 percent this year, which would be the weakest since 2003.
Much of what ails Europe has its origins across the Atlantic. Borrowing costs for consumers and companies jumped as BNP Paribas SA and other European banks ran up losses on investments tied to U.S. mortgages. Exporters such as Heidelberg, Germany-based Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG, the world's largest maker of printing machines, blame declines in the dollar and U.S. demand for hurting profits.
Short, Shallow Recession
Economists Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Richard Berner of Morgan Stanley say the U.S. economy is already in a recession, and they predict that action by policy makers will ensure it is short and shallow.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and his colleagues have cut interest rates five times in less than five months by a total of 2.25 percentage points. Congress last week passed an economic-stimulus package worth about $168 billion.
European policy makers have been slower to administer medicine. The ECB has left its benchmark unchanged at 4 percent for eight months as inflation accelerated to the highest level in 14 years and workers sought more pay in response.
While Trichet last week signaled that he's open to cutting interest rates for the first time in almost five years, he also said he doesn't anticipate inflation will moderate until the second half of the year. Consequently, while investors increased bets on rate cuts last week, they don't expect the ECB to start easing credit before the second quarter.
Delayed Response
Trichet's ``somewhat delayed and gradual policy response'' means the euro-area economy will lag behind the U.S., growing just 1.4 percent this year and 1.6 percent in 2009, compared with 1.9 percent and 3 percent for the U.S., says Janet Henry, chief European economist at HSBC Holdings Plc in London.
Few economists yet anticipate a recession in Europe. Potential housing busts are limited to a few countries, unemployment is at a record low and demand from emerging markets offsets a decline in trade with the U.S.
Inflation still may not retreat fast enough for the ECB to continue cutting as the Fed has. Price pressures persist longer in Europe than in the U.S. for several reasons. Competition among businesses is weaker, and employers have less flexibility on wages because of regulations that set minimum levels or tie worker pay to past inflation rates. German unions are still seeking above-inflation pay agreements.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)