Crude Oil Falls as Equities Tumble on U.S. Recession Concerns

(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell to a one-month low as stock markets tumbled in Asia and Europe on concern the U.S. will lead a global economic slowdown.

Oil, down more than 11 percent from its $100.09 a barrel record on Jan. 3, led a decline across commodities markets as gold and copper also fell. The MSCI World Index, a measure of global stock prices, slipped 1.6 percent today. Slower growth may cut demand for energy and metals.

``The market is concerned about a recession,'' Thina Saltvedt, an analyst at Nordea Bank AB in Oslo, said today in a telephone interview. ``You will see an effect on demand in the first half of the year.''

Crude oil for February delivery declined as much as $1.90, or 2.1 percent, to $88.67 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. That's the lowest since Dec. 12. It was at $88.85 at 1:46 p.m . London time. The contract expires tomorrow.

The more active March contract fell $1.49, or 1.7 percent, to $88.43 a barrel at 1:50 p.m. London time. There will be no settlement prices today as the exchange's floor trading session is closed for the Martin Luther King Day holiday.

``Oil prices have lost ground this morning as Asian stock markets plunge lower,'' said Robert Laughlin, a senior broker at MF Global Ltd. in London.

Brent crude for March settlement fell as much as $1.68, or 1.9 percent, to $87.55 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract traded at $87.96 in London at 1:51 p.m. local time.

OPEC Waits

OPEC, the producer of more than 40 percent of the world's oil, hasn't yet made a decision on whether to raise output at its Feb. 1 meeting, the United Arab Emirates oil minister told reporters in Abu Dhabi today.

``We are going to meet in February and we will have so many options available,'' Minister Mohammed al-Hamli said. ``We will explore all options. There is a disconnect between the fundamentals and the price.''

Prices advanced earlier after Qatar's Oil Minister Abdullah bin Hamad al-Attiyah said yesterday there is no need for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to raise output when it meets Feb. 1.

OPEC is ``reluctant to open its taps too wide, especially with a weakening U.S. economic outlook,'' the London-based Centre for Global Energy Studies said in a monthly report today. ``Ministers might veer in the opposite direction and cut production.''

Mexico, the third-largest supplier of crude to the U.S. in 2006, stopped shipments yesterday morning after strong winds and heavy rains shut terminals.

 

Read more at Bloomberg

Vale in Xstrata Talks, Says No `Concrete Results'

(Bloomberg) -- Cia. Vale do Rio Doce, the world's largest iron-ore producer, confirmed it's in talks with Xstrata Plc.

No ``concrete results'' have been reached, Vale said today in a statement. The Rio de Janeiro-based company said it's also studying other possible acquisitions. Vale is prepared to bid as much as $90 billion in cash and stock to buy Zug, Switzerland- based Xstrata, Valor Economico newspaper reported today.

Chief Executive Officer Roger Agnelli, who wants Vale to overtake BHP as the world's biggest mining company, is already spending $59 billion over five years to expand in Canada, Mozambique, Australia and China. Rio Tinto Group rejected a takeover bid by BHP last month that threatens to match Vale's iron-ore output.

BHP's three-for-one share offer for Rio added ``momentum'' to mining mergers, and Xstrata is ``perfectly positioned'' to benefit, Xstrata Chief Executive Officer Mick Davis said Dec. 6. Davis has developed the company's copper and nickel mining capacity through acquisitions including the $16.2 billion purchase of Canada's Falconbridge Ltd. in 2006.

Vale is also expanding into nickel, coal, copper and fertilizers. The company bought Canadian nickel producer Inco Ltd. for $17.4 billion in 2006 to become the second-largest producer of the stainless-steel ingredient. Vale has operations adjacent to Xstrata in Canada's Sudbury basin and on the French- controlled Pacific island of New Caledonia.

 

Read more at Bloomberg

U.K. to Back Northern Rock Debt in Plan to Spur Sale

(Bloomberg) -- The U.K. government, struggling to find a buyer for Northern Rock Plc, said it will guarantee a sale of bonds backed by the bank's home loans and gave bidders two weeks to come forward with proposals.

The mortgages, consumer loans and some investment-grade securities of the Newcastle, England-based bank would be packaged as debt and sold to investors, the Treasury said today. Bids based on the new funding plan must be submitted by Feb. 4.

Northern Rock rose as much as 55 percent in London trading on speculation the proposal will revive interest among potential buyers such as Richard Branson's Virgin Group Ltd. Northern Rock sparked the first run on a U.K. bank in a century when it sought aid from the Bank of England in September. Borrowings have since swollen to about 24 billion pounds ($47 billion), hampering a sale and forcing the government to consider nationalization.

``It seems a very reasonable solution for Northern Rock,'' said Simon Maughan, an analyst at MF Global Securities Ltd. in London who has a ``neutral'' rating on the stock. ``The problem comes when the competition cries foul.''

Northern Rock rose 21.75 pence, or 34 percent, to 86.25 pence by 12:35 p.m., valuing the bank at 363 million pounds.

Brown, Darling

U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown and Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling have been accused of ``dithering'' by opposition lawmakers for failing to prevent the run on Northern Rock. The U.K. regulatory framework, designed while Brown was running the Treasury, hampered the central bank's ability to head off the bank run, lawmakers, economists and the Bank of England's governor, Mervyn King, have said.

Brown's government has also been criticized for not making a decision earlier on the future of the bank. Darling will make a statement today on the plan and possibilities for a private sale.

``It's precisely because Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling couldn't make a decision that we are looking at public subsidy for five years to come, with no guarantee the government is going to get its money back,'' George Osborne, who speaks on finance for Britain's Conservative Party, said in an interview on BBC Radio 4's Today program.

Northern Rock, a formerly customer-owned building society whose roots date to 1850, is the U.K.'s third-biggest mortgage lender. The company, which sold shares in 1997, has 76 branches and relied mainly on money markets to finance mortgage lending.

The bank sought the government's help after the U.S. subprime mortgage crash rattled credit markets, choking off its financing. The government guaranteed the bank's customer deposits and will also back the bond sale.

Weighing Options

Northern Rock is weighing private solutions, including a bid by Virgin and a reorganization plan of its own. At the same time, concern has grown the bank may have to be nationalized as bidders struggle to secure financing to repay the Bank of England debt.

Northern Rock welcomed the authorities' preference ``to reach agreement on a private sector solution for the company,'' the bank said in a statement today. The lender said it would work with bidders and the government to develop their proposals and its own standalone plan.

A sale will have to be agreed upon in time to enable a restructuring plan to be submitted for approval to the European Union by March 17, the government said. Pending approval by the EU, the Bank of England's loans would be repaid under the plan, which was devised by Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

 

Read more at Bloomberg

Murdoch, Packer offer $2.9 bln for Consolidated Media

(Reuters) - Lachlan Murdoch, son of media tycoon Rupert Murdoch, and Australian gaming magnate James Packer launched a joint A$3.3 billion ($2.9 billion) offer on Monday to buy out the Packer-backed publishing company Consolidated Media Holdings CMJ.AX.

The deal would mark Lachlan's first big business move since quitting his father's business in 2005, and is the second major effort by the two rival media empires to forge a venture, after backing One.Tel, a telecommunications company that collapsed in 2001 owing A$600 million.

The move comes less than three months since Packer separated his late father Kerry Packer's media business from gaming to better focus on building up the gambling operations.

The sons of the media moguls are each expected to take a 50 percent stake in the joint venture vehicle Consolidated Media, which was formed from the split late last year.

The indicative offer, which represents a 24.4 percent premium to Consolidated's last traded price, has the blessing of Consolidated's biggest shareholder -- the James Packer-backed Consolidated Press Holdings (CPH).

Consolidated Media Holdings has appointed UBS as its financial adviser.

Consolidated Media owns 25 percent of pay-TV provider Foxtel, about 27 percent of on-line job site Seek Ltd (SEK.AX: Quote, Profile, Research) and 25 percent of PBL Media. Seek rose 7.4 percent to A$7.15 on Monday.

 

Read more at Reuters

BHP Billiton reportedly taps more banks for Rio bid

(Reuters) - BHP Billiton(BHP.AX: Quote, Profile, Research) has brought in more banks to help it find the $70 billion it needs to fund its planned takeover of Rio Tinto (RIO.AX: Quote, Profile, Research), Britain's Sunday Times newspaper reported.

Citing no sources, the paper said BHP has tapped Barclays (BARC.L: Quote, Profile , Research), UBS (UBSN.VX: Quote, Profile, Research), Goldman Sachs (GS.N: Quote, Profile, Research), HSBC (HSBA.L: Quote, Profile, Research), BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) and Santander (SAN.MC: Quote, Profile, Research) to work alongside original banker Citigroup on the funding.

Merrill Lynch, originally the other provider of finance alongside Citi, will remain as broker to BHP but will not provide any money, the paper said.

The new financing arrangements, which come as a global credit crunch makes raising money more difficult, will give BHP the flexibility to execute a $30 billion share buyback proposed as part of the deal, or add cash to the current around $130 billion all-share offer, the paper said.

BHP, the world's biggest miner, must make a formal offer by February 6 or leave Rio alone for at least six months under a deadline imposed by the UK Takeover Panel.

 

Read more at Reuters