Northwest, JetBlue, AirTran Post Losses on Fuel Costs

(Bloomberg) -- Northwest Airlines Corp., JetBlue Airways Corp. and AirTran Holdings Inc. posted fourth-quarter losses as rising fuel costs erased gains from fare increases.

Northwest said its deficit was $8 million after a $267 million year-earlier loss in bankruptcy, while JetBlue's $4 million loss compared with net income of $17 million. AirTran pared its loss to $2.17 million from $3.55 million.

Fuel is ``the principal culprit,'' said Dave Swierenga, president of consulting firm AeroEcon in Round Rock, Texas. ``The softening economy is clearly also having a negative effect.''

Today's results from the three carriers echoed those reported earlier by larger rivals including American Airlines and United Airlines, which also blamed fuel for blunting benefits from higher fourth-quarter ticket prices.

JetBlue jumped as much as 16 percent, leading U.S. airline shares higher, as its loss was narrower than analysts expected. The shares rose 77 cents to $5.71 at 12:19 p.m. New York time in Nasdaq Stock Market composite trading.

Northwest gained 56 cents, or 3.1 percent, to $18.50 in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, while AirTran rose 29 cents, or 3.4 percent, to $8.75.

Northwest, the fifth-largest U.S. airline, and other big carriers raised fares six times last quarter to counter a 43 percent jump in average jet-fuel prices. The major airlines also doubled their fuel surcharges to $40 round trip. The surcharges are supposed to be temporary.

Northwest

Northwest's loss was 3 cents a share, narrower than the loss of 8 cents projected in a Bloomberg survey of nine analysts. Sales at the Eagan, Minnesota-based airline rose 3.9 percent to $3.1 billion.

Northwest said it would have broken even except for a $14 million pretax loss from selling its remaining holdings in commuter carrier Pinnacle Airlines Corp. The quarterly deficit was Northwest's first since leaving bankruptcy in May.

Spending on fuel rose 16 percent to $937 million, making it Northwest's largest cost and helping to boost operating expenses by 4.3 percent. Higher prices were partially offset by a drop in fuel consumption as Northwest retired older, less-efficient planes and reduced mainline capacity by 2.5 percent.

The surge in fuel is spurring calls by investors for airlines to consolidate and pare expenses. Northwest is considering a tie-up with Delta Air Lines Inc., according to Northwest's pilots union. The airlines have declined to comment on any merger talks.

 

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U.S. Stocks Rise After Earnings, Durable Goods Top Forecasts

(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks rose for a second day, led by telephone companies and utilities, on better-than- forecast durable goods orders and earnings that topped estimates at two dozen members of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index.

Dow Chemical Co., American Electric Power Co. and Valero Energy Corp. led gains among the 30 companies in the S&P 500 that reported results since markets closed yesterday. Boeing Co. and Caterpillar Inc. climbed after the Commerce Department said orders for U.S. durable goods rose the most since July.

The S&P 500 added 1, or 0.1 percent, to 1,354.97 at 1:06 p.m. in New York. The benchmark for U.S. equities is still down 7.6 percent in 2008 on concern the collapse of the subprime mortgage market will drag the economy into recession. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25.04, or 0.2 percent, to 12,408.93. The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased 6.52, or 0.3 percent, to 2,343.39, dragged down by a 2.1 percent drop in Google Inc.

``When you see a durable goods number like this and then earnings outside of the financial sector doing quite well, people are beginning to realize that perhaps the contagion effect may be somewhat limited,'' said Damon Barglow, who helps oversee $1.9 billion at Eastern Investment Advisors in Boston, in an interview with Bloomberg Radio.

Durable Goods

Index futures doubled their advances after the 5.2 percent gain in durable goods orders last month highlighted how growing overseas demand may spur manufacturing as the U.S. economy slows. The Federal Reserve is to expected to cut interest rates tomorrow in an effort to spur growth.

The S&P 500 has gained 3.5 percent from its 16-month low on January 22 after falling as much as 15 percent from its Oct. 31 record.

Fourth quarter earnings advanced 20 percent on average for the 155 non-financial companies in the S&P 500 that have reported results so far, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Analysts expect the entire index to post an 18 percent average decline in profit.

Dow Chemical rose 43 cents to $38.02. The maker of 3,200 products ranging from synthetic latex to pesticides posted profit excluding some restructuring costs and other items of 84 cents, topping the 80-cent average estimate of 14 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

Valero, American Electric

Valero Energy Corp. climbed $5.22 to $60.12. The largest U.S. refiner posted fourth-quarter profit of $1.02 a share, topping the 59-cent average analysts' estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Earnings were buttressed by a cut in Valero's tax rate and increased use of low-grade crude oil.

Sunoco Inc., the largest oil refiner in the U.S. East, added $2.20 to $63.35. Tesoro Corp., the largest refiner in the U.S. West, gained $2.90 to $41.29. ConocoPhillips, the nation's second-biggest refiner, increased $1.18 to $77.59.

American Electric Power Co. gained 59 cents to $42.82. The biggest U.S. producer of electricity from coal said fourth- quarter profit rose 28 percent on higher power sales and a gain from the sale of a stake in a power plant. Sales rose 10 percent to $3.3 billion on higher utility rates and colder weather that increased use of electricity for heating.

Boeing, the world's second-biggest commercial airplane maker, climbed $2.34, or 3 percent, to $79.94. Caterpillar, the largest maker of bulldozers and excavators, added 72 cents to $68.93.

The dollar strengthened and yields on Treasury notes rose after the durable-goods report. Economists had forecast orders would increase 1.6 percent in December, according to the median of 64 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.

Eli Lilly & Co. rallied 94 cents to $52.34. Excluding certain items, Lilly earned 90 cents a share, a penny higher than the average estimate of 17 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

 

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Durable goods orders jump, house prices slump

(Reuters) - Stronger-than-expected orders for U.S.-made durable goods in December suggested the economy retained some life and might not need a heavy dose of interest-rate cuts, even though house prices fell a record amount in November.

New orders for long-lasting goods rose 5.2 percent last month, a Commerce Department report showed on Tuesday, well above the 1.5 percent increase forecast by economists in a Reuters poll.

The surprise surge in durable goods orders helped offset a report that showed home prices in 10 major metropolitan areas fell a record 8.4 percent in the year through November.

U.S. Treasuries fell after the durables report, which contradicted weakness in other areas of the economy and undermined the argument for more aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Stocks rose.

A consumer sentiment survey, meanwhile, showed confidence fell in January but by slightly less than economists had expected. The Conference Board's index of consumer sentiment fell to 87.9 from an upwardly revised 90.6 in December.

"Consumers are on the edge but haven't packed it in yet. They are worried about the up-and-down stock market, falling house value and high gasoline prices. But they still have jobs," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania.

 

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IMF to world economy: no one escapes U.S. slowdown

(Reuters) - When the U.S. coughs, the whole world still catches cold.

"No one is exempt from a global slowdown. That is why you call it global," International Monetary Fund chief economist Simon Johnson said on Tuesday as he updated the IMF's World Economic Outlook.

"It will be very hard for even the most effective counter-cyclical policy to keep any country from having some slowdown in these circumstances," he said.

The IMF has trimmed its estimate for world growth this year to 4.1 percent from its prior outlook of 4.4 percent, with still-resilient emerging economies seen growing at a rate of 6.9 percent from 7.8 percent last year. Even growth in China will moderate from a thumping 11.4 percent in 2007 to 10 percent.

"There are obviously linkages. I think that reports of decoupling have been greatly exaggerated. It is a question of what kind of linkages," Johnson told a media briefing.

World stock markets have swung wildly since problems in the U.S. subprime mortgage market surfaced in August, sparking a global credit crunch that has yet to fully abate. Investors have bet heavily that the United States will tip into recession and drag other economies in its wake.

 

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Wal-Mart cuts prices to lure Super Bowl shoppers

(Reuters) - Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT.N: Quote, Profile, Research) said on Tuesday it is cutting prices on thousands of items by 10 percent to 30 percent this week to win sales from cash-strapped shoppers ahead of the Super Bowl.

A Wal-Mart spokeswoman did not have an exact figure on the number of items included in the price cuts but said the world's largest retailer was reducing prices on groceries, popular electronics and other items that shoppers might buy before the Super Bowl football championship game on Sunday.

Wal-Mart typically announces such widespread price cuts during the ultra-competitive holiday shopping season.

But with 2008 U.S. retail sales forecast to rise at the slowest pace in six years, retailers are turning to promotions to lure shoppers into their stores to spend their limited budgets.

Ahead of the Super Bowl weekend, Best Buy Co Inc's (BBY.N: Quote, Profile, Research) Web site is advertising no interest for three years on all Samsung flat panel TVs $999 and up, while in a similar move, Circuit City Stores Inc (CC.N: Quote, Profile, Research) is offering no interest for 36 months on TVs $999 and higher.

Wal-Mart said it is charging no interest for 18 months on purchases of $250 or more with a Wal-Mart credit card.

 

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PetroChina's 44% Loss Proves BRIC Premium Is Nonsense

(Bloomberg) -- The biggest slide in emerging-market stock valuations in a year and a half is proving that a slowdown in the U.S. economy still matters to Brazil, Russia, India and China.

Shares in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index dropped 12 percent relative to profit this month as the prospect of a U.S. recession pushed two-thirds of the world's equity indexes into so-called bear markets. The last monthly decline as steep was in May 2006, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Even the price-earnings ratio for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, the benchmark for U.S. stocks, didn't fall as much.

Companies such as PetroChina Co., the country's biggest oil producer, and Russia's OAO Lukoil show the threat of a global slump is shaking the confidence of investors who viewed developing countries as a haven from the U.S. PetroChina's 44 percent plummet since November erased about $400 billion, more than the market value of Microsoft Corp., the No. 1 software maker. Russian stocks are headed for their biggest loss in 19 months after money managers bought an unprecedented amount in 2007.

``The only way they could decouple would be for them to be on another planet,'' said David Dreman, who oversees $20 billion as chief investment officer at Jersey City, New Jersey-based Dreman Value Management LLC. ``We are the biggest buyer of their products and biggest user of their services, so if our economy slows down their growth rate has to slow down. There's no other plausible way.''

Record High

The MSCI index rose to an all-time high in October on expectations economic growth in the so-called BRIC countries, which accounted for half the world's expansion last year, would shield stocks even if the U.S. stumbled.

Last year's surge pushed the valuation for the MSCI above the S&P 500 for the first time since the Internet bubble burst in March 2000. Investors were willing to risk capital on profit growth in developing markets as their governments boosted currency reserves and cut debt.

Now, the price-earnings ratio is 15.35, down from 17.44 at the end of last year and an all-time high of 90.6 in February 1999, Bloomberg data show. Investors pulled a record $10.7 billion from emerging-market stock funds last week, according to data compiled by Cambridge, Massachusetts-based research firm EPFR Global.

 

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Gold Rebounds as Dollar Tumbles After Fed's Interest-Rate Cut

(Bloomberg) -- Gold rose after an emergency cut in U.S. borrowing costs reduced the value of the dollar, boosting the appeal of the precious metal as an alternative investment.

The Federal Reserve slashed its benchmark interest rate 0.75 percentage point to 3.5 percent after global equity markets tumbled on concern the slumping U.S. economy will drag down the growth rates of other nations. Gold rallied 31 percent in 2007 after the Fed cut rates by 1 percentage point, sending the dollar down 9.5 percent against the euro.

``This is a pure dollar play if ever there was one,'' said Jon Nadler, an analyst at Kitco Minerals & Metals Inc. in Montreal.

Gold futures for February delivery climbed $8, or 0.9 percent, to $889.70 an ounce at 11:57 a.m. on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The price earlier fell as low as $849.50.

Gold for immediate delivery rose $24.22, or 2.8 percent, to $889.22. The price fell 2.1 percent yesterday, when the Comex was closed for Martin Luther King Jr. Day.

The rate cut was the biggest single reduction since the Fed began using the benchmark as the principal tool to control monetary policy in 1990. The dollar dropped as much as 1.3 percent against the euro.

``Lower interest rates are very good for gold because the dollar will weaken against other currencies,'' said Marty McNeill, a trader at R.F. Lafferty Inc. in New York.

Policy makers are scheduled to meet on Jan. 30. Interest- rate futures show a 70 percent chance the Fed will cut the benchmark rate 0.25 percentage point to 3.25 percent at that session, compared with no chance a week ago.

`Total Meltdown'

``At this point, the Fed looks like they're asset- senstive,'' said Frank McGhee, head metals trader at Integrated Brokerage Services LLC in Chicago. ``They're going to put liquidity in the market to keep stock prices higher and a total meltdown from happening.''

U.S. stocks tumbled for the fifth session with the Dow Jones Industrial Index plunging as much as 3.8 percent before paring losses. European stocks rose for the first time in six session after the Fed's surprise cut.

``Market participants see weakening economic conditions as the cause of the emergency rate cuts and stronger inflationary pressures as a result,'' said Stuart Flerlage, who helps manage more than $600 million at NuWave Investment Corp. in New York ``This will continue to provide a strong bid for gold.''

 

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ABN Leads Stocks Bears as MFS Sees No Repeat of '03

(Bloomberg) -- The last time the Standard & Poor's 500 Index was at least 10 percent below its previous high, in 2003, the world's biggest stock investors were bullish.

Not this time. Institutions handling $1.5 trillion, including Baring Asset Management's Andrew Cole, ABN Amro Asset Management's Joost van Leenders and MFS Investment Management's James Swanson, are holding or selling. They say stocks are riskier today than they were during that last correction in 2003, even though valuations are half as much.

``It's a much more dangerous game today,'' said Cole, 44, a fund manager who helps invest $48 billion at Baring in London. ``2008 is going to be a year of preservation of capital. We've got a lot of cash and we're not frightened to say so.''

Cole, whose firm favored shares over bonds or cash in 2003, said in an interview he's ``underweight'' equities this year because evidence of a U.S. recession is mounting. January's decline in the S&P 500, the benchmark for American equities, marked the worst start in the index's history.

The Federal Reserve's three interest-rate cuts since September haven't encouraged stock investors about the prospects for the economy. Equities are the cheapest relative to bonds since 1974, and still investors are shifting funds to fixed- income.

Steepest Drop

Stocks got even less expensive as the MSCI World Index dropped 3 percent yesterday, its biggest decline since 2002. The global benchmark slipped 1.1 percent today, its sixth straight decline and the longest stretch of losses since the period ended July 18, 2006.

Benchmark indexes from Hong Kong to London and Brazil retreated yesterday as concern grew that a U.S. recession will weaken global growth. Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped today by the most since September 2001, and Australia's All Ordinaries Index tumbled the most since October 1989. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index was headed for its biggest two-day slump in a decade.

Investors pulled money from U.S. stock funds every month between May and November, the longest streak this decade, according to Investment Company Institute, which compiles data from 4,744 equity funds with $6.6 trillion in assets.

Net inflows to fixed-income funds in 2007 were the biggest since the start of the U.S. bull market in 2002, according to data from ICI, the Washington-based trade group for the mutual- fund industry.

``What we've been telling people to do is, `Face reality and take action.''' said David Darst, the New York-based chief investment strategist for Morgan Stanley's private banking unit, which oversees $700 billion.

Recession Forecasts

Last month, Darst recommended clients raise their cash holdings to 16 percent of assets. He told them to move money from equities to hedge funds that use futures to bet on currencies, interest rates and commodities.

ABN Amro Asset's van Leenders, 38, the firm's investment strategist, said he's daunted as earnings fall and predictions from Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., and Merrill Lynch & Co. increase investors' conviction that the country is sliding into a recession.

Profit for S&P 500 members may have tumbled an average of 17 percent in the fourth quarter, according to Bloomberg data. The 2.5 percent drop in the third was the first quarterly decline since 2002.

End of Expansion

A jump in the jobless rate in December signaled that the longest expansion in consumer spending on record will end in the first quarter, Goldman said. The number of Americans who fell behind on mortgage payments rose to a 20-year high in the third quarter and home prices probably fell last year for the first time since the Great Depression.

Economic growth will slow to 1.1 percent in the first quarter, according to the median estimate of 65 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. In 2003, the U.S. grew at an annual rate of 2.5 percent while profits rose 17.4 percent a quarter, on average.

A correction is any time a stock index declines 10 percent or more from peak to trough. The latest for the S&P 500 was reached Nov. 26, when it fell 10 percent from its record in October.

Prior to that, the 15 percent drop in the index between November 2002 and March 2003 was the sixth correction in three years. Those were spurred by the collapse of the technology bubble, the terrorist attacks on Sept. 11, 2001, a recession in 2001 and the dissolution of Enron Corp.

`Entering Recession'

The S&P 500 rebounded 39 percent between its 2003 low and the end of the year, marking the beginning of a five-year bull market.

``The macro picture right now is much weaker,'' said van Leenders, whose Amsterdam-based firm has $309 billion in assets. ``Then we were recovering from a recession, now we are entering one.''

ABN Amro Asset lowered its allocation to equities last quarter by raising cash and buying government and investment- grade corporate debt, he said. Swanson, the chief investment strategist at Boston-based MFS, sold a third of the shares he owned at the end of the year to boost his holdings in U.S. government bonds.

The S&P 500 fell 9.8 percent in the first 13 trading days of this year for the worst start since the index's inception in 1957. Stocks will drop further as the economy forces more homeowners into default and banks' losses on investments tied to subprime mortgages double to as much as $200 billion, Swanson said.

Benchmarks Drop

MSCI's world index slid 1.1 percent to 1,380.60 as of 3:03 p.m. in Tokyo, extending its decline from an Oct. 31 record to 18 percent. Japan's Nikkei 225 dropped 5.7 percent, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 7.1 percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng plunged as much as 8.2 percent. India's Sensex index tumbled 12 percent when trading resumed after a halt to avoid breaching limits.

Yesterday, London's FTSE 100 Index dropped 5.5 percent for the steepest loss since September 2001. Brazil's Bovespa index plunged 6.6 percent, the biggest retreat in almost a year.

``Everything is being painted with a `dump-it-now' brush,'' Swanson, 58, said in an interview from Omaha, Nebraska. ``Seeing those red numbers on stock after stock after stock, it changes the psychology. It's very easy to give in to the doom of `Man, this is really now a recession and bear market and it's never going to get better.'''

Banks Extend Decline

Banks and brokerages in the S&P 500, last year's worst- performing industry with a 21 percent decline, have dropped another 13 percent in 2008. Telephone companies, energy producers and computer makers have fallen more than 12 percent since the start of this year.

New York-based Merrill, the biggest U.S. brokerage, had a record loss last week after writing down the value of its subprime-infected assets by $16.7 billion.

The stock-market slump hasn't been limited to the U.S. Benchmarks in more than two dozen countries including Japan, Sweden and Peru have plunged at least 20 percent from their peaks in the past six months, marking the start of so-called bear markets. This month alone, global stocks have lost more than $5 trillion in market capitalization, Bloomberg data show.

Stuart Fraser, who helps manage $42 billion at Brewin Dolphin Securities Ltd. in London, said he purchased inflation- linked government debt because ``central banks will be more concerned about rescuing the economy than worrying about inflation.''

Fraser, 61, also bought futures contracts and exchange- traded funds that track wheat and soybean prices. Wheat reached a record $10.095 a bushel in December and has doubled in the past year. Soybeans set an all-time high of $13.415 a bushel this month after surging 78 percent in 2007.

Long Volatility

Ashburton Ltd.'s Peter Lucas bought futures on the so-called VIX, the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index that tracks the price of S&P 500 options. The gauge of stock market price swings almost doubled in 2007.

``Whatever happens this year, volatility will remain elevated,'' said Lucas, 42, who oversees $1.7 billion as chief investment officer at Ashburton in Jersey, Channel Islands. ``Being long volatility is a smart way of hedging equity risk.''

Relative to earnings, stocks are about half as expensive as they were in 2003. Companies in the S&P 500 are valued at an average 17.5 times reported profit, compared with 33 times at the start of 2003, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

 

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ECB, BOE May Follow U.S. Fed Cut, Economists Say

(Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank and the Bank of England may have to follow the Federal Reserve and cut interest rates as the risk of a U.S. recession threatens to drag down a global expansion, economists said.

``From a European and a U.K. perspective, the Fed cut adds to the risk of more and quicker rate cuts,'' said Amit Kara, an economist at UBS AG in London. Kara, a former economist at the U.K. central bank, predicts four cuts from the Bank of England this year and two by the ECB.

The Fed today lowered its benchmark rate in an emergency move for the first time since 2001 after global stock markets tumbled amid signs the world's largest economy is sliding into recession. The move spurred a rally in European stocks, though failed to stem a decline in U.S. indexes.

The widening interest-rate gap between the U.S. and Europe may spur gains in the euro, worsening the outlook for an economy already showing signs of a slowdown by hobbling exports. German investor confidence dropped to the lowest since 1992 in January and European manufacturing growth slowed in December.

``This market has been calling for help,'' said Alberto Espelosin, who helps to manage about $12 billion at Zaragoza, Spain-based Ibercaja Gestion. ``The ECB should follow suit.''

The Bank of Canada, in a scheduled meeting, lowered its main rate by a quarter point today to 4 percent and signaled it will act again to shield Canada from the U.S. slowdown.

Yields Fall

Investors are increasing bets Europe's two major central banks will cut borrowing costs, interest-rate futures trading shows. The ECB's benchmark rate is currently 4 percent, while the Bank of England's 5.75 percent is the highest among the Group of Seven industrial nations.

The yield on the June ECB contract fell to 3.80 percent today from yesterday's close of 3.94 percent. On the June U.K. contract, the yield fell 3 basis points to 4.89 percent.

The ECB and the U.K. central bank refused to give away their intentions. The Bank of England said it has no plans to bring forward next week's meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee, which is scheduled for Feb. 7. ECB council member Juergen Stark declined to comment on the Fed's decision when questioned by reporters in Brussels.

The Swiss National Bank also declined to comment, as did spokespeople for the central banks of Norway and Sweden.

The euro, which touched a record $1.4967 on Jan. 23, rose 1.1 percent to $1.4619 at 6:08 p.m. Frankfurt time after the Fed's announcement. The pound climbed 0.8 percent to $1.9592.

`Forced to Act'

``If it becomes clear that this is merely a temporary fix, and the situation deteriorates further, then the ECB will be forced to act,'' said Ken Wattret, an economist at BNP Paribas SA in London.

While David Brown, chief European economist at Bear Stearns Cos. in London, predicted the Bank of England will cut its rate next month and the ECB will do so in the second quarter, he ruled out either following the Fed in reducing rates outside their normally scheduled meetings, as they did in September 2001.

``It's not their style,'' said Brown. ``European central banks tend to move by the calendar.''

European inflation at a six-year high of 3.1 percent, breaching the ECB target of just below 2 percent, is limiting policy makers' room for maneuver. President Jean-Claude Trichet said Jan. 10 that the bank is ready to act ``preemptively'' to raise rates to contain consumer prices.

 

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SA losing faith in govt

(Fin24) - If the power deadlock within the ANC is perpetuated, a feeding frenzy of opportunistic corruption, near corruption or inertia could follow, according to a researcher from the Institute for Justice and Reconciliation (IJR), Susan Brown, who calls this "the worst case".

Brown was speaking during a breakfast briefing to launch the IJR's transformation audit, which she edited, and which showed there has been an alarming slump in public confidence in SA leaders and its representative institutions, including parliament.

The report was conducted between April 2006 and April 2007 among 3 500 respondents.

The Presidency has already received a copy of the report, and according to the IJR it was "receptive", questioned whether a trend was being seen and engaged more openly in dialogue than they would have perhaps a year ago.

IJR researcher Jan Hofmeyr explains that all 23 government performance areas showed significant declines, with seven showing declines of 20% or more.

"This is quite significant," he noted, adding that there was a decline in the trust being placed in national leaders. Added to this were concerns around softer issues, like the integrity of leadership.

Incoming executive director of the IJR (replacing Charles Villa-Vicencio, who remains on the board) Fanie du Toit said: "There are some serious findings here. It speaks of a more systematic failure to take the public into confidence."

He added that there was a "startling gap" between economic growth and the public perception as displayed in the audit.
SA has been enjoying the highest growth in its business cycle since the Second World War, but yet the public was clearly not happy. Some blame must lie somewhere, and as the audit showed, there appeared to be something of a leadership crisis within government institutions and lack of delivery to a wider base.

Brown highlighted inefficiencies in the education system, which she explained fed into unemployment. She said the linkages with tertiary institutions had hardly expanded since 1994.

Du Toit pointed out that SA compared badly with its peers on the education front, and said that the pool of people from which tertiary students were derived was still the same size as it was in 1995.

"It affects the nature of the macroeconomic system we have, and it affects public confidence and the ability to develop a unified society," said Brown.
 

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Lekgotla to solve energy crisis

(Fin24) - Eskom CEO Jacob Maroga will face some tough questions from the South African government which will use its two-day Lekgotla, starting January 23, to help solve the country's energy supply shortfall.

Maroga joins the Lekgotla which brings together all ministers and their deputies, premiers, director-generals and representatives of the South African Local Government Association.

Rolling blackouts throughout South Africa have ground business to a halt and severely disrupted roads and other infrastructure, as well as weakened confidence in the country's ability to attract and support future investment.

After the Lekgotla all eyes will be on February 8, when President Thabo Mbeki's state of the nation address in parliament is expected to detail some of the Lekgotla's findings.

A statement released by the cabinet today apologised for the electricity predicament and the impact it has had on the country's citizens, economy and image.
 

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Crude Oil Falls as Equities Tumble on U.S. Recession Concerns

(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell to a one-month low as stock markets tumbled in Asia and Europe on concern the U.S. will lead a global economic slowdown.

Oil, down more than 11 percent from its $100.09 a barrel record on Jan. 3, led a decline across commodities markets as gold and copper also fell. The MSCI World Index, a measure of global stock prices, slipped 1.6 percent today. Slower growth may cut demand for energy and metals.

``The market is concerned about a recession,'' Thina Saltvedt, an analyst at Nordea Bank AB in Oslo, said today in a telephone interview. ``You will see an effect on demand in the first half of the year.''

Crude oil for February delivery declined as much as $1.90, or 2.1 percent, to $88.67 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. That's the lowest since Dec. 12. It was at $88.85 at 1:46 p.m . London time. The contract expires tomorrow.

The more active March contract fell $1.49, or 1.7 percent, to $88.43 a barrel at 1:50 p.m. London time. There will be no settlement prices today as the exchange's floor trading session is closed for the Martin Luther King Day holiday.

``Oil prices have lost ground this morning as Asian stock markets plunge lower,'' said Robert Laughlin, a senior broker at MF Global Ltd. in London.

Brent crude for March settlement fell as much as $1.68, or 1.9 percent, to $87.55 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract traded at $87.96 in London at 1:51 p.m. local time.

OPEC Waits

OPEC, the producer of more than 40 percent of the world's oil, hasn't yet made a decision on whether to raise output at its Feb. 1 meeting, the United Arab Emirates oil minister told reporters in Abu Dhabi today.

``We are going to meet in February and we will have so many options available,'' Minister Mohammed al-Hamli said. ``We will explore all options. There is a disconnect between the fundamentals and the price.''

Prices advanced earlier after Qatar's Oil Minister Abdullah bin Hamad al-Attiyah said yesterday there is no need for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to raise output when it meets Feb. 1.

OPEC is ``reluctant to open its taps too wide, especially with a weakening U.S. economic outlook,'' the London-based Centre for Global Energy Studies said in a monthly report today. ``Ministers might veer in the opposite direction and cut production.''

Mexico, the third-largest supplier of crude to the U.S. in 2006, stopped shipments yesterday morning after strong winds and heavy rains shut terminals.

 

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Vale in Xstrata Talks, Says No `Concrete Results'

(Bloomberg) -- Cia. Vale do Rio Doce, the world's largest iron-ore producer, confirmed it's in talks with Xstrata Plc.

No ``concrete results'' have been reached, Vale said today in a statement. The Rio de Janeiro-based company said it's also studying other possible acquisitions. Vale is prepared to bid as much as $90 billion in cash and stock to buy Zug, Switzerland- based Xstrata, Valor Economico newspaper reported today.

Chief Executive Officer Roger Agnelli, who wants Vale to overtake BHP as the world's biggest mining company, is already spending $59 billion over five years to expand in Canada, Mozambique, Australia and China. Rio Tinto Group rejected a takeover bid by BHP last month that threatens to match Vale's iron-ore output.

BHP's three-for-one share offer for Rio added ``momentum'' to mining mergers, and Xstrata is ``perfectly positioned'' to benefit, Xstrata Chief Executive Officer Mick Davis said Dec. 6. Davis has developed the company's copper and nickel mining capacity through acquisitions including the $16.2 billion purchase of Canada's Falconbridge Ltd. in 2006.

Vale is also expanding into nickel, coal, copper and fertilizers. The company bought Canadian nickel producer Inco Ltd. for $17.4 billion in 2006 to become the second-largest producer of the stainless-steel ingredient. Vale has operations adjacent to Xstrata in Canada's Sudbury basin and on the French- controlled Pacific island of New Caledonia.

 

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U.K. to Back Northern Rock Debt in Plan to Spur Sale

(Bloomberg) -- The U.K. government, struggling to find a buyer for Northern Rock Plc, said it will guarantee a sale of bonds backed by the bank's home loans and gave bidders two weeks to come forward with proposals.

The mortgages, consumer loans and some investment-grade securities of the Newcastle, England-based bank would be packaged as debt and sold to investors, the Treasury said today. Bids based on the new funding plan must be submitted by Feb. 4.

Northern Rock rose as much as 55 percent in London trading on speculation the proposal will revive interest among potential buyers such as Richard Branson's Virgin Group Ltd. Northern Rock sparked the first run on a U.K. bank in a century when it sought aid from the Bank of England in September. Borrowings have since swollen to about 24 billion pounds ($47 billion), hampering a sale and forcing the government to consider nationalization.

``It seems a very reasonable solution for Northern Rock,'' said Simon Maughan, an analyst at MF Global Securities Ltd. in London who has a ``neutral'' rating on the stock. ``The problem comes when the competition cries foul.''

Northern Rock rose 21.75 pence, or 34 percent, to 86.25 pence by 12:35 p.m., valuing the bank at 363 million pounds.

Brown, Darling

U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown and Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling have been accused of ``dithering'' by opposition lawmakers for failing to prevent the run on Northern Rock. The U.K. regulatory framework, designed while Brown was running the Treasury, hampered the central bank's ability to head off the bank run, lawmakers, economists and the Bank of England's governor, Mervyn King, have said.

Brown's government has also been criticized for not making a decision earlier on the future of the bank. Darling will make a statement today on the plan and possibilities for a private sale.

``It's precisely because Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling couldn't make a decision that we are looking at public subsidy for five years to come, with no guarantee the government is going to get its money back,'' George Osborne, who speaks on finance for Britain's Conservative Party, said in an interview on BBC Radio 4's Today program.

Northern Rock, a formerly customer-owned building society whose roots date to 1850, is the U.K.'s third-biggest mortgage lender. The company, which sold shares in 1997, has 76 branches and relied mainly on money markets to finance mortgage lending.

The bank sought the government's help after the U.S. subprime mortgage crash rattled credit markets, choking off its financing. The government guaranteed the bank's customer deposits and will also back the bond sale.

Weighing Options

Northern Rock is weighing private solutions, including a bid by Virgin and a reorganization plan of its own. At the same time, concern has grown the bank may have to be nationalized as bidders struggle to secure financing to repay the Bank of England debt.

Northern Rock welcomed the authorities' preference ``to reach agreement on a private sector solution for the company,'' the bank said in a statement today. The lender said it would work with bidders and the government to develop their proposals and its own standalone plan.

A sale will have to be agreed upon in time to enable a restructuring plan to be submitted for approval to the European Union by March 17, the government said. Pending approval by the EU, the Bank of England's loans would be repaid under the plan, which was devised by Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

 

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Murdoch, Packer offer $2.9 bln for Consolidated Media

(Reuters) - Lachlan Murdoch, son of media tycoon Rupert Murdoch, and Australian gaming magnate James Packer launched a joint A$3.3 billion ($2.9 billion) offer on Monday to buy out the Packer-backed publishing company Consolidated Media Holdings CMJ.AX.

The deal would mark Lachlan's first big business move since quitting his father's business in 2005, and is the second major effort by the two rival media empires to forge a venture, after backing One.Tel, a telecommunications company that collapsed in 2001 owing A$600 million.

The move comes less than three months since Packer separated his late father Kerry Packer's media business from gaming to better focus on building up the gambling operations.

The sons of the media moguls are each expected to take a 50 percent stake in the joint venture vehicle Consolidated Media, which was formed from the split late last year.

The indicative offer, which represents a 24.4 percent premium to Consolidated's last traded price, has the blessing of Consolidated's biggest shareholder -- the James Packer-backed Consolidated Press Holdings (CPH).

Consolidated Media Holdings has appointed UBS as its financial adviser.

Consolidated Media owns 25 percent of pay-TV provider Foxtel, about 27 percent of on-line job site Seek Ltd (SEK.AX: Quote, Profile, Research) and 25 percent of PBL Media. Seek rose 7.4 percent to A$7.15 on Monday.

 

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BHP Billiton reportedly taps more banks for Rio bid

(Reuters) - BHP Billiton(BHP.AX: Quote, Profile, Research) has brought in more banks to help it find the $70 billion it needs to fund its planned takeover of Rio Tinto (RIO.AX: Quote, Profile, Research), Britain's Sunday Times newspaper reported.

Citing no sources, the paper said BHP has tapped Barclays (BARC.L: Quote, Profile , Research), UBS (UBSN.VX: Quote, Profile, Research), Goldman Sachs (GS.N: Quote, Profile, Research), HSBC (HSBA.L: Quote, Profile, Research), BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) and Santander (SAN.MC: Quote, Profile, Research) to work alongside original banker Citigroup on the funding.

Merrill Lynch, originally the other provider of finance alongside Citi, will remain as broker to BHP but will not provide any money, the paper said.

The new financing arrangements, which come as a global credit crunch makes raising money more difficult, will give BHP the flexibility to execute a $30 billion share buyback proposed as part of the deal, or add cash to the current around $130 billion all-share offer, the paper said.

BHP, the world's biggest miner, must make a formal offer by February 6 or leave Rio alone for at least six months under a deadline imposed by the UK Takeover Panel.

 

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U.S. Economy: Inflation Slows, Industrial Production Unchanged

(Bloomberg) -- Consumer prices in the U.S. rose at a slower pace in December and industrial production failed to grow, giving the Federal Reserve the room and reason to cut interest rates at their next meeting on Jan. 30.

The cost of living increased 0.3 percent after a 0.8 percent gain in November, the Labor Department said today in Washington. Output at U.S. factories was unchanged in December as exports helped make up for declines in auto and housing- related production, the Federal Reserve said separately.

Slower growth will make it more difficult for companies to pass on higher costs, suggesting inflation will cool from last year's pace, the fastest in 17 years, economists said. Investors' attention may now shift to Chairman Ben S. Bernanke's testimony on the economy tomorrow at a hearing in Congress.

``With the sluggish growth outlook and rising risk of recession, inflation concerns have receded,'' said Zach Pandl, an economist in New York at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., which correctly forecast the increase in prices. ``The Fed is clearly focusing on growth at this point.''

Economists had anticipated a 0.2 percent increase in consumer prices last month, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.

Prices excluding food and energy advanced 0.2 percent, after a 0.3 percent increase, matching the median estimate.

Treasury notes were little changed after the consumer price report and later slipped. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note was 3.68 percent at 10:33 a.m. in New York, little changed from late yesterday. Stocks dropped after an Intel Corp. sales forecast spurred concern technology profits will weaken.

Capacity Use

Capacity utilization, which measures the proportion of plants in use, fell to 81.4 percent from 81.6 percent in November, indicating greater slack in the economy, the Fed's report showed. Economists had predicted a 0.2 percent drop in output and a capacity-in-use rate of 81.2 percent.

``There is nothing that would keep the Fed from cutting 50 to 75 basis points later this month,'' based on today's data, said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist at the Bank of New York Mellon Corp. in New York.

Traders anticipate the Fed will cut its benchmark rate to 3.75 percent, from 4.25 percent, this month, futures prices show. The chance of a 75 basis-point cut was 42 percent. Policy makers are next scheduled to gather Jan. 29-30. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.

For all of last year, consumer prices rose 4.1 percent, the most since 1990. The core rate climbed 2.4 percent after a 2.6 percent increase in 2006.

Energy Costs

Energy prices last month rose 0.9 percent, after gaining 5.7 percent the previous month. Fuel costs were up 18 percent in 2007, also the most in 17 years.

Food prices, which account for about one-fifth of the CPI, increased 0.1 percent, the smallest gain of any month in 2007.

The consumer price index is the government's broadest gauge of costs for goods and services. Almost 60 percent of the CPI covers prices that consumers pay for services ranging from medical visits to airline fares and movie tickets.

The government yesterday said producer prices unexpectedly eased 0.1 percent at the end of a year that saw the biggest annual jump in more than a quarter century. The cost of imported goods was unchanged in December, a report last week showed.

PPI and CPI have some differences in timing that may cause discrepancies. In calculating wholesale prices, the government asks survey participants to report costs as of the Tuesday of the week that includes the 13th. Consumer prices are based on average costs over the entire month.

Rents, which make up almost 40 percent of the core CPI, rose 0.3 percent.

 

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ECB's Mersch Urges Caution as Growth Risks Increase

(Bloomberg) -- European Central Bank council member Yves Mersch said the bank should exercise caution as risks to economic growth increase.

``We have certainly downside risks to economic activity,'' Mersch, 58, said in an interview at his office in Luxembourg yesterday. While inflation risks have also risen, ``we're not unaware of mitigation to price developments,'' he said, citing a stronger euro, near-record oil prices, the slowing U.S. economy and higher credit costs.

The ECB has threatened to raise interest rates as unions demand wage increases to compensate for the fastest inflation in six years. At the same time, the U.S. Federal Reserve is cutting borrowing costs to stave off recession in the world's largest economy after its housing market slumped.

``I don't like assumptions that what's happening in one part of the world is also true for another part,'' Mersch said. The ECB should nevertheless ``be cautious, look at the figures and take the appropriate decisions. There's still widespread uncertainty, and that's affecting confidence.''

The euro fell more than a cent on the comments, to $1.4652 at 5.06 p.m. in Frankfurt, and bonds rallied.

Mersch is the fifth policy maker this week to note either downside risks to the economic outlook or the temporary nature of the jump in inflation.

`Look Through'

The ECB can afford to ignore an oil-driven surge in inflation if it doesn't inflate wage settlements, Mersch said. ``If there's no pass-through of these temporary factors to the general price level, we're able to look through if need be.''

Inflation, which held at 3.1 percent in December, may return to the ECB's 2 percent limit next year if oil prices ease and wages don't rise excessively, ECB council members Michael Bonello, Lorenzo Bini Smaghi and Axel Weber all said this week.

Mersch said while rising oil and food costs have increased the likelihood of so-called second-round effects materializing, they ``haven't materialized so far.'' Financial-market uncertainty and ``other international developments'' may ``weigh on the inflation development,'' he said.

The ECB shelved a planned rate increase in September and has since kept its benchmark at 4 percent to assess the economic impact of the U.S. subprime mortgage collapse, which made banks reluctant to lend and drove up the cost of credit globally. Oil prices near $100 a barrel and the euro's appreciation may also damp European growth.

 

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Oil Falls Below $90 for First Time in 4 Weeks as Supplies Rise

(Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell below $90 a barrel for the first time in four weeks after a U.S. Energy Department report showed that supplies rose more than expected.

Inventories surged 4.29 million barrels to 287.1 million in the week ended Jan. 11, the first increase in nine weeks, the report showed. Supplies were expected to rise 1.25 million barrels, according to the median of 15 responses in a Bloomberg News survey.

``This confirms that the seasonal period of crude-oil inventory builds has begun and gotten off to a good start with a larger-than-expected build,'' said Eric Wittenauer, an analyst at A.G. Edwards & Sons Inc. in St. Louis.

Crude oil for February delivery fell $2.47, or 2.7 percent, to $89.43 a barrel at 10:56 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices touched $89.35 today, the lowest since Dec. 18. Futures reached a record $100.09 a barrel on Jan. 3. Prices are up 75 percent from a year ago.

Brent crude for February settlement declined $2.09, or 2.3 percent, to $88.89 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Europe exchange. Futures touched $98.50 on Jan. 3, the highest intraday price since trading began in 1988.

Refineries operated at 87.1 percent of capacity, down 4.2 percentage points from the week before, the report showed. It was the biggest one-week drop since September 2005 when Hurricane Rita shut refineries in Texas and Louisiana after roaring in from the Gulf of Mexico.

``The big drop in refinery runs is the most shocking number inside the report,'' said Tim Evans, an energy analyst at Citigroup Global Markets Inc. in New York. ``It could be that we are seeing an early start to the next round of refinery maintenance.''

 

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U.S. Stocks Fall on Intel Forecast, Extending Global Tumble

(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined after Intel Corp.'s sales forecast stoked concern over technology profits and deepened a decline in global markets that's wiped out $2.58 trillion in value this year.

Intel, the world's largest computer-chip maker, dropped the most in five years in Nasdaq Stock Market trading after saying first-quarter sales will be as much as 6.9 percent below analysts' estimates. Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. led energy shares lower on the New York Stock Exchange as oil prices retreated below $90 a barrel for the first time in four weeks.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 12.7, or 0.9 percent, to 1,368.25 at 11:04 a.m. in New York, below its Aug. 16 trading low. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 75.43, or 0.6 percent, to 12,425.68. The Nasdaq Composite Index sank 47.9, or 2 percent, to 2,369.69. Asia's regional benchmark fell to its lowest since August, while European shares slid to a 16-month low. Indexes in Russia, Japan and Hong Kong all dropped by more than 3 percent.

``It's obviously treacherous out there, and Intel did no favors with their earnings announcement,'' said Kurt Brunner, who helps manage $1.5 billion at Swarthmore Group Inc. in Philadelphia. ``There's not a whole lot of places to hide, and the consumer looks weak right now.''

The S&P 500 has dropped 6.8 percent so far this year, while the Dow average is down 6.3 percent and the Nasdaq Composite has lost 11 percent. Technology shares, which helped lead the market higher last year, have retreated 12 percent as a group in 2008 for the worst performance among 10 industries.

Losses were limited today as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. posted results that topped analysts' estimates and Oracle Corp. agreed to buy BEA Systems. Four stocks retreated for every three that rose on the NYSE.

Consumer prices rose at a slower pace in December, signaling inflation may decelerate after rising in 2007 by the most in 17 years.

Intel Forecast

Intel tumbled $2.86, or 13 percent, to $19.83. First- quarter sales will rise to as little as $9.4 billion, the chipmaker said yesterday after the close of trading, less than the $10.1 billion estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Lehman Brothers slashed its price estimate on the stock by 23 percent to $23.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., the second-largest maker of computer processors, lost 16 cents to $5.96.

Apple Inc. dropped $10.23 to $158.81. The shares slumped for a second day after new products failed to impress investors yesterday.

Oil fell below $90 a barrel for the first time in four weeks in New York after a Energy Department report showed supplies rose more than expected.

Oil Drops

Exxon, the largest U.S. oil company, declined $2.79 to $86.23. Chevron Corp., the second-biggest, lost $2.74 to $85.53. ConocoPhillips, the second-largest U.S. refiner, retreated $2.66 to $77.95.

Ambac Financial Group Inc. plunged $6.05, or 29 percent, to $15.09. The second-largest bond insurer will slash its dividend 67 percent and raise more than $1 billion in new capital to preserve its AAA credit rating. Ambac and rival MBIA Inc. are under scrutiny by ratings companies and regulators after their guarantees on collateralized debt obligations and bonds linked to subprime mortgages began plunging in value.

Oracle Corp., the world's third-biggest software maker, slid 4 cents to $21.27 after agreeing to buy BEA Systems Inc. for $8.5 billion. Oracle will buy the San Jose, California-based software maker for $19.38 a share in cash, 24 percent above yesterday's closing price. Oracle capitulated to BEA's board's demands for a higher price after BEA rejected a $17 bid in October. BEA added $2.97 to $18.55.

 

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Ambac Will Cut Dividend, Raise $1 Billion in Capital

(Bloomberg) -- Ambac Financial Group Inc. ousted its chief executive officer, slashed the dividend 67 percent and will raise more than $1 billion to preserve its AAA credit rating after announcing the biggest-ever writedowns by a bond insurer.

The New York-based company fell as much as 28 percent on the New York Stock Exchange, extending a 76 percent decline in the past 12 months. Ambac will report a loss after reducing the value of securities it guarantees by $3.5 billion, according to a statement today.

Chairman and CEO Robert Genader, 60, will leave after presiding over the company's first ever losses and a decline in shares that wiped out $7.8 billion in market value. Ambac's writedowns, which exceeded those announced last week by larger rival MBIA Inc., failed to convince investors that the worst is over. Ambac and MBIA remain under scrutiny by ratings companies and regulators after their guarantees of bonds linked to subprime mortgages began plunging in value.

``The perception is that their underwriting standards were insufficient and they weren't on top of their business,'' Janet Tavakoli, president of Tavakoli Structured Finance in Chicago, said in an interview. ``This announcement still just says `We're a black box. Deal with it'.''

Ambac, which put its AAA stamp on $556 billion of securities, probably will end up needing more capital because the credit quality of the debt it guarantees will decline, Tavakoli said. Standard & Poor's yesterday changed the way it reviews subprime securities to increase its assumptions for losses, indicating it may further lower credit ratings.

Shares Fall

Board member and former Citigroup Inc. executive Michael Callen, 67, will become chairman and interim CEO, Ambac said.

The reduction in the quarterly dividend to 7 cents from 21 cents reverses a commitment made just three weeks ago to retain the payout. Ambac said it will report a net loss of $32.83 a share for the quarter, equating to more than $3 billion based on the company's 101 million shares outstanding.

Ambac declined $5.79 to $15.35 at 10:35 a.m. in New York after earlier falling as low as $15.12. MBIA dropped $1.91, or 12 percent, to $14.14.

``It's one thing to have a plan and another to have a plan that is credible and will be a long-term fix,'' said Donald Light, an analyst with Boston-based consulting firm Celent. ``Is this just a down payment in what's going to be a series of payments of uncertain length?''

`Clock Ticking'

Ambac is under pressure to come up with enough capital to satisfy Fitch Ratings, which threatened to cut the company's AAA rating unless it raised $1 billion. The bond insurers are under scrutiny from Fitch, Moody's Investors Service and S&P to increase their capital after a slide in credit ratings of the debt they guarantee.

The loss of the AAA stamp of Ambac, MBIA, FGIC Corp. and other insurers would throw into doubt the ratings of $2.4 trillion of municipal and structured finance debt that the companies guarantee. It would also cripple their ability to keep underwriting new bonds.

``The clock is ticking for all these companies,'' Robert Haines, an analyst with New York-based bond research firm CreditSights Inc., said in an interview before the announcement.

The infusion of capital, which may include the sale of shares and convertible stock, will satisfy Fitch, Ambac said in the statement today. Ambac said it may also reinsure more of its bonds or sell debt securities to shore up capital.

 

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JPMorgan Fourth-Quarter Earnings Fall, Miss Estimates

(Bloomberg) -- JPMorgan Chase & Co., the third- biggest U.S. bank, said profit dropped 34 percent on subprime- mortgage writedowns and higher provisions for future loan defaults.

Fourth-quarter net income declined to $2.97 billion, or 86 cents a share, from $4.53 billion, or $1.26, a year earlier, the New York-based bank said today in a statement. JPMorgan rose as much as 6.8 percent in New York trading as the $1.3 billion writedown was smaller than analysts estimated.

The profit decline, the first since Jamie Dimon became chief executive officer in 2005, came as trading revenue fell and JPMorgan prepared for what it said may be a substantial weakening in the U.S. economy. The company added $2.3 billion to credit reserves, bringing the total to $10 billion. Citigroup Inc., the biggest U.S. bank, said yesterday it added $5.2 billion to cover U.S. loan losses and took an $18.1 billion writedown.

``We remain extremely cautious as we enter 2008,'' Dimon, 51, said in the statement. ``If the economy weakens substantially from here -- for which, as a company, we need to be prepared --it will negatively affect business volumes and drive credit costs higher.''

JPMorgan gained $1.68, or 4.3 percent, to $40.85 in composite trading on the New York Stock Exchange at 10:28 a.m.

``Their diversified business model really continues to separate JPMorgan from a lot of their peers,'' said William Fitzpatrick, an analyst at Racine, Wisconsin-based Optique Capital Management, which oversees $1.7 billion including JPMorgan shares.

Revenue Increase

Revenue climbed 7 percent to $17.4 billion, compared with the average estimate of $17.2 billion in the Bloomberg survey. Profit fell short of the 92-cent average estimate of 17 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Last year's fourth-quarter earnings included a one-time gain of $622 million.

Net income at the investment-banking division tumbled 88 percent to $124 million in the fourth quarter, as credit-market turmoil reduced revenue from debt underwriting 39 percent, to $467 million. Fixed-income revenue tumbled 70 percent because of the writedown, to $615 million, and ``weaker trading results'' contributed to a 40 percent drop in equity market revenue, which fell to $578 million.

The retail bank's profit climbed 5 percent to $752 million, driven by increases in mortgage banking. Those gains were tempered by declines in the home-equity and auto-loan businesses. Charge-offs on home-equity loans totaled $248 million. Profit from auto loans was $49 million, a 25 percent drop from a year earlier.

Credit Costs

Dimon said on a conference call with analysts that he isn't predicting a U.S. recession, though credit costs will increase as the economy weakens.

JPMorgan earned 15 percent less from its card services business, as its provision for future losses rose 40 percent to $1.79 billion.

Return on equity from continuing operations, a gauge of how effectively the company reinvests earnings, was 10 percent, compared with 14 percent a year earlier.

JPMorgan lost 18 percent of its market value in the past 12 months, compared with 50 percent at New York-based Citigroup and 29 percent at Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America Corp.

JPMorgan's Tier 1 capital ratio, which regulators monitor to assess banks' ability to withstand loan losses, remained unchanged from the third quarter at 8.4 percent.

 

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BEA accepts $8.5 billion Oracle offer

(Reuters) - Oracle Corp (ORCL.O: Quote, Profile, Research) on Wednesday won a three-month-long campaign to buy BEA Systems Inc (BEAS.O: Quote, Profile, Research) by raising its bid for the business software maker by 14 percent to $8.5 billion.

Activist investor Carl Icahn, BEA's largest shareholder with a nearly 13 percent stake, said he supported the deal, one of last year's highest profile corporate takeover battles.

Icahn and BEA's board initially rejected Oracle, saying it undervalued the company, but no other buyers emerged even as BEA's investment bank, Goldman Sachs, solicited bids from other software makers.

The price that BEA finally agreed to, $19.375 per share in cash, represents a compromise between the $17 that Oracle offered in October and the $21 that BEA had demanded.

"It's a fair price. It's a good deal for Oracle. It's a good deal for BEA," said Trip Chowdhry, analyst at Global Equities Research.

Shares of BEA rose 19 percent to $18.59 in morning Nasdaq trade, while Oracle shares were down 2 cents to $21.29.

BEA is a maker of "middleware," which helps business computer systems interact with each other. Oracle could sell its technology alongside its own middleware, database products and business-management software.

 

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Airbus posts record 2007 orders

(Reuters) - Airbus confirmed 2007 as a record year for planemakers on Wednesday by posting orders for 1,341 aircraft while boosting cost savings aimed at catching archrival Boeing Co.

Boeing took top spot with 1,413 orders and has suffered less from a weakened dollar than Airbus, which has launched its Power8 cost-savings drive in response.

"These are enormous numbers; it was a staggering year. Now it becomes a question of how we manage the backlog," Airbus chief Tom Enders told journalists.

"Power8 delivered cost savings very considerably ahead of schedule in 2007. The official version is more than 300 million euros; I can tell you it is close to 500 million," he said.

The planemaker aims to cut 10,000 jobs and sell plants to lower its costs. It said it had achieved 30 percent of its planned reduction in overhead positions in 2007, or 3,000 jobs, equally split between Airbus and its suppliers.

Yet despite the reductions achieved mainly through attrition, Airbus still needs to hire production workers and skilled engineers to deliver ambitious new projects.

The overall Airbus headcount of around 55,000 fell slightly in 2007, Chief Operating Officer Fabice Bregier said.

 

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Wells Fargo profit falls

(Reuters) - Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N: Quote, Profile, Research) on Wednesday said its fourth-quarter profit fell 38 percent, the first decline in more than six years, hurt by rising losses from home equity loans.

However, the decline was smaller than expected, and shares of the financial company were up 41 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $26.90 in early trading on the New York Stock Exchange after climbing to a session high of $28.11.

The weaker results reflect how the housing slump and tight credit markets have affected even mortgage providers such as Wells Fargo, whose lending practices are considered conservative.

"Except for the admitted slip of getting involved in third-party home equity loans, they've done a fine job in a challenging market in avoiding credit missteps," said Thomas Russo, who helps invest more than $3 billion at Gardner, Russo & Gardner in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, including 4 percent in Wells Fargo. "They're not immune, but have less exposure."

Net income for the San Francisco-based bank, which is the nation's fifth-largest bank and second-largest mortgage lender, fell to $1.36 billion, or 41 cents per share, from $2.18 billion, or 64 cents, a year earlier. Revenue increased 8 percent to $10.21 billion.

Analysts on average expected a profit of 39 cents per share on revenue of $10 billion, according to Reuters Estimates.

Wells Fargo said it tripled the amount set aside for loan losses to $2.6 billion, including $1.4 billion tied to home equity loans. The latter reduced after-tax profit by 27 cents per share. In November, the bank significantly scaled back offering home equity loans through brokers.

 

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Boeing delays 787 by three more months

(Reuters) - Boeing Co (BA.N: Quote, Profile, Research) said on Wednesday it would push back first test flight and deliveries of its 787 Dreamliner by about three months, as it struggles with production of the new, carbon-fiber airplane.

The delay is the second major setback for the program in three months, after announcing a six-month delay in October.

Only a month ago Boeing's commercial airplane chief assured Wall Street that the plane was on track to meet its revised schedule.

Boeing said on Wednesday the first test flight of the plane would now take place around the end of the second quarter, compared with its previous target of near the end of March.

First deliveries of the plane are now scheduled for early 2009, rather than its previous estimate of late November or December this year.

Chicago-based Boeing said the new delay would not have a significant effect on 2008 results, but it would update its financial forecasts for this year when it reports quarterly earnings on January 30.

It plans to provide financial forecasts for 2009 when it reports first-quarter earnings at the end of April. The new delay is likely to have a greater impact on 2009, as that is when deliveries of the 787 are now scheduled to start.

 

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Consumer prices data open door to rate cut

(Reuters) - Consumer prices rose modestly in December while industrial production was flat, leaving the door open for the Federal Reserve to slash interest rates later this month to shore up an economy that some fear is on the verge of a recession.

The reports released on Wednesday also showed consumer prices shot up last year at the fastest rate in 17 years, driven by soaring energy costs, while manufacturing growth was the weakest since 2003.

The data "underlines our view that we're on the razor's edge here, that we could be headed into recession," said Mike Schenk, senior economist with Credit Union National Association in Madison, Wisconsin.

Stock markets were mixed, with technology shares hurting after a disappointing earnings report from sector bellwether Intel Corp. Bond prices weakened while the dollar's value declined against other major currencies.

The Consumer Price Index, the most broadly used gauge of inflation, rose 0.3 percent in December, slightly ahead of economists' forecasts for a 0.2 percent rise, the Labor Department report showed.

Still, core prices that strip out volatile food and energy items rose 0.2 percent last month - in line with forecasts - following a 0.3 percent November increase.

For the full year, CPI jumped 4.1 percent, well ahead of the 2.5 percent increase posted in 2006 and the largest 12-month rise since a 6.1 percent increase in 1990. Core prices were up 2.4 percent for the full year, following a 2.6 percent pickup in 2006. That was the smallest 12-month rise in core prices since a 2.2 percent increase in 2005.

 

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JPMorgan takes $1.3 billion writedown

(Reuters) - JPMorgan Chase & Co said on Wednesday quarterly profit fell a worse-than-expected 24 percent as the No. 3 U.S. bank lost $1.3 billion on risky mortgages and set aside more money for rising losses on home-equity loans.

The bank quadrupled to $1.1 billion the provision it needs to cover continued problems on home equity and subprime mortgage loans. It also said credit card spending slowed in December, a sign the U.S. economy could suffer as cash-strapped consumers face rising food and heating costs while the value of their homes slide.

"We remain extremely cautious as we enter 2008," JPMorgan Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said in a statement. He said a worsening U.S. economy would boost consumer credit losses beyond current levels.

 

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Load shedding inquiry looms

(Fin24) - The public protector is considering whether or not to mount an investigation into the load shedding currently being experienced by South Africans, which, he says "is having a devastating effect ... on service delivery by government, is causing serious prejudice to the private sector and negatively affects the lives of many of the people."

In a letter to the chief executive of Eskom, Jacob Maroga, the public protector, Lawrence Mushwana, on Wednesday said that he is mandated to investigate on his own initiative or on receipt of a complaint, conduct by public entities that causes unlawful or improper prejudice to any person.

He poses a series of questions to the Eskom chief to help him decide whether to proceed.

He asks Maroga to explain the reasons for the load shedding, the measures that were put in place by Eskom to prevent what is causing the load shedding and the expected duration of the load shedding practice.

He also asks for detailed information "as a matter of urgency" on steps that have been taken by Eskom to address the reasons for the load shedding and the time frames within which the problems will be resolved.

 

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Shoprite pockets rise in sales

(Fin24) - Pan-African food retailer Shoprite said sales for December 2007 rose by 16.1% when compared with 2006, which analysts have billed as "pleasing".

The 16.1% increase accounted for both inflation and volume
growth; for the same month, same-store sales grew by 11.7%.

Shoprite says that for the six months to end-December, sales rose by 21.8% to R23.3bn, but notes that the increase should be seen against the three-month strike which took place from August to October 2006, as earnings in thatperiod were affected.

It says like-for-like business in the six-month period
grew by 16.5%.

Nedcor Securities retail analyst Syd Vianello says that
while the numbers were good, the market may be a little disappointed and may have expected more growth given increased social grants, higher food inflation and the perception that Shoprite is taking market share away from Pick n Pay.

Room to fall further

Coronation Fund Managers' food retail analyst Quinton Ivan
says high food inflation - especially in staple foods, which comprise a large part of the Shoprite basket - was beneficial for food retailers' numbers because, despite higher prices, sales volumes do not drop as food is a basic commodity.

Ivan says that while Shoprite is on a heavier rating
(trading on an earnings multiple of 19.3) when compared with Spar (17.6) and Pick n Pay (19.2), its earnings have grown at a faster rate.

Ivan's preference in the food-retail space remains Spar.

Ivan was particularly impressed with the 32.5% growth (20.2% on a like-for-like bases) in Shoprite's African operations. As at end-June 2007 (the most recent figures available), Shoprite had 120 stores in 16 African countries.

Negative overall market sentiment, which saw the all-share index down 3.4% by 13:00 - overshadowed the positive trading update, with Shoprite shares falling 5.4% to 3 700c.

Shoprite's fall was in line with that of fellow food
retailers Pick n Pay (down ) and Spar Group (down 3.6% to 5 300c).

Nedcor Securities retail analyst Syd Vianello says that food retail stocks have, until now, held up well due to them being defensive plays.

Vianello says that while the sell-off presented a buying opportunity, there was room for food retailers to fall further relative to apparel retailers, which have been trading at low price levels.
 

Read more at Fin24

Rand on back foot

(Fin24) - The rand remained on the back foot in late trade on Wednesday amid continuing turmoil in global stock markets with a raft of recent US economic data adding to fears of a
recession in the world's biggest economy.

Dealers added that local data indicating a slowdown in retail sales which supports the argument against another South African rate hike later this month had also contributed to the rand's weakness.

By 15:55 the rand was bid at R6.9210 to the dollar from its previous close of R6.8050. It was bid at R10.2638 to the euro from a previous R10.1070 and at R13.6167 against sterling from R13.1853 before.

The euro was bid at $1.4805 from $1.4780 overnight, while gold was quoted at $890.75 a troy ounce from its previous close of $889.10/oz.

 

Read more at Fin24

Metorex guns for CRC control

(Fin24) - Metorex, the JSE-listed diversified mining group, said it was confident it would vacuum up the remaining 5% it needed to complete the takeover of Copper Resources Corporation (CRC), an AIM-traded company with mining prospects in the Congo.

"We already own 45% of the company," said Charles Needham, CEO of Metorex at the group's annual general meeting held in Johannesburg suburb, Rosebank. "We have approached between 7% to 8% of CRC shareholders who are outside the offer to sell us the shares on the same terms and conditions."

"What if something goes wrong?" a shareholder asked Needham.

Said Needham: "We are pretty certain about getting at least 5% of those."

Metorex bought 38.7% of CRC in July last year plus a 5% stake in its 75% held subsidiary MMK from the Forrest group for R600m. The Metorex share price stood around R24 at the time and it subsequently rose to an all-time high of 2 950c.

But by mid-January, Metorex's share price was 38% off its 12-month high and was last trading at 1 902c, another 5% decline on the day.

 Read more at Fin24

Tiger: 'Blatant profiteering'

(Fin24) - The Competition Commission - on Wednesday slammed the bread price increases, saying the "blatant profiteering is an insult to the nation".

Bread maker Tiger Brands (TBS) on Monday implemented price increases on its Albany bread brand - soon after the Competition Commission hit it with a R99m fine for admitting a role in bread price-fixing cartel.

"This blatant profiteering is an insult to the nation, particularly the poor. It demonstrates that either the collusion is continuing or the cartel members are acting to maintain the artificially high margins they achieved by acting unlawfully," said Shan Ramburuth, Competition Commissioner.

The Commission has requested an explanation.

Tiger Brands is the only company that has implemented price hikes. Its peers Pioneer Foods, Premier Foods and Foodcorp, which are also implicated in the bread cartel scandal, are expected to follow suit.

"Should evidence show that the collusive behaviour is continuing we are able to withdraw the immunity we've granted to other players. We are also prosecuting the remaining cartel members, Pioneer and Foodcorp. Perhaps most shockingly, we have received new allegations of other anti-competitive behaviour by these parties, which we are vigorously pursuing," said Ramburuth.

Tiger Brands has denied that prices increases were implemented to plug the gap on the R99m, but has cited higher wheat prices.

Wheat prices - which make about 20% of bread input - nearly doubled in the past year to trade around 3 000 rand per ton as the world's wheat inventories shrunk due to threats of crop failure in the world's top wheat exporters.
 

Read more at Fin24

Court Limits Shareholder Suits Against Vendors, Banks

 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Supreme Court put new limits on shareholders suits against a company's banks and business partners in a ruling that may hinder efforts to recoup billions of dollars lost in frauds at Enron Corp. and HealthSouth Corp.

The justices, voting 5-3, threw out a lawsuit by Charter Communications Inc. investors against two of its suppliers, Motorola Inc. and Scientific-Atlanta Inc. The court said the shareholders didn't show they relied on the alleged deception by the suppliers in making investment decisions.

Allowing additional shareholder lawsuits ``may raise the cost of being a publicly traded company under our law and shift securities offerings away from domestic capital markets,'' Justice Anthony Kennedy wrote for the court.

Business groups called the case their highest priority in the court's 2007-08 term. Trade groups representing banks, accounting firms and law firms took an especially keen interest, saying their members might present tempting targets for shareholder lawyers. The ruling will bolster efforts by Merrill Lynch & Co. to block a lawsuit by Enron investors and by UBS AG to defeat claims by HealthSouth shareholders.

The case split the court along ideological lines, with Chief Justice John Roberts and Justices Samuel Alito, Antonin Scalia and Clarence Thomas joining Kennedy's opinion.

Seeking a Remedy

Justices John Paul Stevens, Ruth Bader Ginsburg and David Souter dissented. Stevens wrote that Congress enacted the federal securities laws ``with the understanding that the federal courts respected the principle that every wrong would have a remedy.''

Justice Stephen Breyer didn't participate in the case. He owns stock in Cisco Systems Inc., which is now Scientific- Atlanta's parent company.

The Supreme Court in 1994 ruled 5-4 that federal securities law bars suits for ``aiding and abetting'' another company's wrongdoing. Congress changed the law in 1995 to permit aiding- and-abetting suits by the Securities and Exchange Commission, but not by private shareholders.

Investors said the 1994 ruling left room for accusations that outsiders took part in a scheme to deceive shareholders, while business groups said those types of claims were barred. The Bush administration largely supported the companies, though using different reasoning.

 

Read more at Bloomberg

State Street's Earnings Fall 28% on Legal Fund Costs

(Bloomberg) -- State Street Corp., the world's largest money manager for institutions, said fourth-quarter earnings fell 28 percent after setting aside $618 million to settle legal claims stemming from losses on subprime mortgages.

Net income declined to $223 million, or 57 cents a share, from $309 million, or 91 cents, a year earlier, the Boston-based company said today in a statement. State Street dropped 5.5 percent in New York composite trading after the company said 2008 growth will be at the lower end of its target ranges.

State Street faces at least three class-action lawsuits from investors claiming its funds made inappropriate bets on subprime-backed securities. It disclosed the legal reserve Jan. 3 and replaced William Hunt, its chief investment officer for the past three years. State Street's 2008 forecast follows a year in which the company exceeded analysts' estimates.

``People are trying to figure out just how much of the strength State Street showed in 2007 is truly sustainable,'' Thomas McCrohan, an analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia, said in an interview today.

State Street fell $4.03 to $80.83 at 9:38 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading after declining to as low as $80.20. Before today, the stock had risen 19 percent in the past year, compared with the 4.9 percent gain by the Standard & Poor's Supercomposite Asset Management and Custody Banks Index.

Excluding the legal reserve of $279 million after tax, or 71 cents a share, profit was $1.38 a share, beating the $1.35 average estimate of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. State Street's earnings for 2007 were $4.57 a share, outpacing the $4.55 estimate of the 15 analysts.

 

Read more at Bloomberg

Citigroup Posts Record Loss on $18 Billion Writedown

(Bloomberg) -- Citigroup Inc. posted the biggest loss in the U.S. bank's 196-year history as surging defaults on home loans forced it to write down the value of subprime-mortgage investments by $18 billion.

The fourth-quarter net loss of $9.83 billion, or $1.99 a share, compared with a profit of $5.1 billion, or $1.03, a year earlier, the largest U.S. bank said today in a statement. New York-based Citigroup also reduced its dividend by 41 percent, cut 4,200 jobs and obtained $14.5 billion from outside investors to shore up depleted capital.

The results are ``unacceptable,'' Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit, who was installed in December after Charles ``Chuck'' Prince stepped down amid mounting subprime losses, said on a conference call with analysts and investors. ``We need to do better, and we will.''

Citigroup fell as much as 3.7 percent in New York trading as the writedown for subprime home loans and related securities was almost double what the company forecast in November and the loss exceeded analysts' estimates. The bank also set aside $5.2 billion to cover lending losses, including credit-card and auto loans where delinquencies increased.

The markdown on subprime securities is the biggest so far, exceeding the $14 billion reported by Zurich-based UBS AG, Europe's biggest bank. Former CEO Sanford I. Weill and Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, who is already Citigroup's largest individual shareholder, were among the investors contributing new capital to the bank.

`Deep, Desperate Hole'

``They've got themselves in a deep, desperate hole and it's going to take them all of 2008 to work their way out of it,'' Jon Fisher, who helps manage $22 billion at Minneapolis-based Fifth Third Asset Management, said in an interview on Bloomberg TV. Fifth Third owns shares of Citigroup. ``There are probably issues on their balance sheet that the management team, who's only really been running the company for about a month, doesn't even know about.''

The net loss exceeded analysts' estimates of 97 cents a share, according to a survey by Bloomberg. Citigroup has slumped 47 percent in New York Stock Exchange composite trading during the past year. The shares fell 92 cents, or 3.2 percent, to $28.14 in composite trading at 9:52 a.m.

Standard & Poor's lowered its long-term rating on Citigroup to AA- from AA after the earnings announcement, reflecting the ``severe losses'' and the likelihood that the bank's 2008 performance ``could be rocky.''

Dividend Reduced

Citigroup, founded in 1812 as the City Bank of New York, cut the quarterly dividend to 32 cents a share from 54 cents. The reduction, the first since the merger of Citicorp and Travelers Group Inc. in 1998, will help save the company about $4.4 billion annually. The company said as recently as November that it had no plans to lower the payout to shareholders.

Citigroup also had to turn to outside investors for fresh capital for the second time in two months, bringing to $22 billion the total amount raised. The bank said it generated $6.88 billion by selling convertible preferred shares to an investment fund controlled by the government of Singapore. Similar shares were sold to Capital Research Global Investors, Capital World Investors, the Kuwait Investment Authority, the New Jersey Division of Investment, Prince Alwaleed and Weill.

In November, the bank got a $7.5 billion injection from the ruling family of the Middle Eastern emirate Abu Dhabi. Alwaleed, the 52-year-old billionaire, already owns 4 percent of the company. He has been Citigroup's biggest individual shareholder since the early 1990s, when soured investments in commercial real estate left corporate predecessor Citicorp short of funds.

 

Read more at Bloomberg

Bank of America Bags Countrywide

(Businessweek) - The $4 billion acquisition of Countrywide Financial rescues the U.S.'s largest mortgage lender. BofA chief Ken Lewis calls it a "rare opportunity"

 

Every go-go period on Wall Street has a spectacular flame-out that comes to symbolize the excesses of the day, from Sam Insull's Middle West Utilities during the Great Depression to Pets.com in the dot-com era. Now it's Countrywide Financial's (CFC) turn.

Bank of America (BAC) announced Jan. 11 that it is buying Countrywide in a deal that values the nation's largest mortgage broker at just $4 billion, or roughly $6.90 per share. Even that was a bit of a gift for Countrywide investors, who had seen their stock slip to just $5 a share in the past week as the company denied rumors it would seek bankruptcy protection. As recently as January, 2007, Countrywide's shares were selling for $42.

Bank of America Chairman and Chief Executive Kenneth Lewis said he did not plan on having Countrywide Chairman and Chief Executive Angelo Mozilo head the combined operations. "I would want him to stay until the deal gets done and then probably I would guess that he would want to go have some fun," Lewis said in a conference call announcing the deal.

Read more at Businessweek

Movers: IBM, Harman, Sovereign Bancorp, Sears

(Businessweek) - International Business Machines (IBM) announces preliminary fourth quarter EPS from continuing operations of $2.80, vs. $2.26 a year ago, on 10% higher revenues, including 6 points of currency benefit.

Harman International Industries (HAR) now sees non-GAAP 2008 EPS of $3.00-$3.10, before after-tax merger-related costs of $0.13 per share but including impact of the company's ongoing accelerated share repurchase. It says the change in guidance caused by major shift in market for Portable Navigation Devices (PNDs), which experienced significant pricing pressure.

Sovereign Bancorp (SOV) expects to take a combination of charges due to the continued volatility in the financial markets and deterioration in the credit environment; charges are expected to adversely impact its fourth quarter financial results.

Sears Holdings (SHLD) says Sears Domestic's same-store sales declined by 2.8% during the nine-week period ended Jan. 5, while Kmart's same-store sales declined by 4.2%; total domestic same-store sales declined 3.5%. Due to lower sales, gross margin rates, it sees fourth quarter EPS of $2.59-$3.48, vs. $5.33 last year. It sees $5.13-$5.96 fiscal year 2008 EPS. Goldman reportedly downgrades to sell from neutral.

The Financial Times reports that as Merrill Lynch (MER) is seeking about $4 billion in a second capital raising, Kuwait Investment Authority is expected to be a significant investor in this new deal, which could be announced as soon as mid-week, according to people familiar with the matter. Other investors could come from Europe. Separately, WSJ reports the SEC is probing whether several current and former Merrill employees improperly placed trades for the firm's own account ahead of client orders.

Weyerhaeuser (WY) agrees to sell its iLevel European engineered wood products operations to Finnforest of Finland, part of the Metsaliitto Group. Terms of the sale were not disclosed.

Blue Nile (NILE) posts 24% rise in fourth quarter revenue. Anticipates reporting strong profitability for fourth quarter earnings.

Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) sees fourth quarter EPS of $0.09. It says decline from third quarter's $0.35 EPS primarily results from increase in loan loss provision expense to $13.9 million.

FTD Group (FTD) sees $0.30 second quarter EPS on $155 million consolidated revenue, vs. year ago's $0.21 EPS on $152 million consolidated revenue.

PeopleSupport (PSPT) receives unsolicited revised proposal from IPVG Corp. and AO Capital Partners Ltd.

Compuware (CPWR) sees lower-than-expected $0.14 third quarter adjusted EPS. It says there was a high ratio of ratable versus up-front recognition for new software licenses in the quarter, and this resulted in lower-than-expected revenue and EPS.

Terex (TEX) agrees to acquire A.S.V. ( ASVI) for about $488 million. Terms: $18 for each ASVI share. Expects transaction to close by end of the first quarter 2008.

Kirby (KEX) expects fourth quarter EPS to exceed $0.62, above the top end of $0.57- $0.62 guidance, substantially above fourth quarter 2006 EPS of $0.44. It cites strength in core businesses.

 

Read more at Businessweek